Regular season

Sam Lafferty

Florida Panthers · C · #18

Depth playerDepth Forward?2 points in 29 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 205 lb
Age: 31
Shoots: R
From: Hollidaysburg, USA
Draft: 2014 PIT · R4 #113

50Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1616pctl

1616pctl

1515pctl

1818pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.072pctl

0.033pctl

0.032pctl

0.30pctl

-250pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.1%5pctl

0.345pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.027pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

50.0%54pctl

1.822pctl

0.135pctl

0:013pctl

0:001pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 21 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

41.9%6pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%62pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.4 min2pctl

Support received?

15.7 min95pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%38pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7547pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2028pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.08/gm97pctl

Pressure escape rate?

4.7%3pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 249 EV min

General Offense

2.1725

3.8625

Shot Setups/60?

0.0025

Chance Setups/60?

0.0025

Primary Contributions/60?

2.1725

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0025

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0036

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0025

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0026

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0030

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9634

Rush Offense/60?

2.8925

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4836

0.9660

0.0029

Deflections/60?

1.2144

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0030

Entries Finished/60?

0.4834

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2432

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.7232

0.0027

0.7243

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0040

Forechecking

6.2764

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.00M

cap hit

$0.86M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Sam Lafferty	50	Depth Forward	2 P · 29 GP	$2.00M	$0.86M	D−$1.1M	this player
Justin Kirkland	53	Depth Forward	2 P · 20 GP	$0.90M	$0.92M	C+$0.0M	89%
Kyle MacLean	50	Depth Forward	7 P · 59 GP	$0.80M	$0.86M	C+$0.1M	89%
Zakhar Bardakov	50	Depth Forward	10 P · 60 GP	$0.87M	$0.86M	C−$0.0M	88%
Calle Jarnkrok	51	Depth Forward	8 P · 56 GP	-	$0.86M	-	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Sam’s goals

Creates for

goals Sam assisted on

Nick Foligno1

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 3 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 03-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:05 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:34 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:55 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 03-17

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:02 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-20

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:06 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 03-22

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:15 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:11 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:53 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:33 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:44 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)43 events shown

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Pittsburgh Penguins	50	6	7	13	5
2020-21	Pittsburgh Penguins	34	0	6	6	-6
2021-22	Pittsburgh Penguins	10	0	2	2	0
2021-22	Chicago Blackhawks	46	5	6	11	-16
2022-23	Chicago Blackhawks	51	10	11	21	-10
2022-23	Toronto Maple Leafs	19	2	4	6	-1
2023-24	Vancouver Canucks	79	13	11	24	4
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	60	4	3	7	-15
2025-26	Chicago Blackhawks	29	1	1	2	-2
Career	5 teams	378	41	51	92	-41