HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Nick Foligno

Minnesota Wild · LW · #71
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 128 hits (11.2/60)
HT
6'0"
WT
210 lb
Age
38
Shoots
L
From
Buffalo, USA
Draft
2006 OTT · R1 #28
57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
1919pctl
Playmaking?
4343pctl
Transition?
1515pctl
Defense?
4848pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2830pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0717pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2040pctl
Shots / GP?
0.915pctl
Plus/Minus?
+266pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.1%33pctl
ZEIS?
0.7714pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4654pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
4.37pctl
Hits / 60?
11.285pctl
Take : Give?
0.2326pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.8985pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:0340pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:1382pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 34 GP tracked · 7h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.1 min27pctl
Support received?
16.6 min75pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 560 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.50M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($3.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Nick Foligno57$4.50MF$3.0Mthis player
Lukas Reichel59$1.20MC+$0.6M82%
Keegan Kolesar54$2.50MD$1.5M82%
Jordan Greenway53$4.00MF$3.1M80%
Gustav Nyquist58--80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Colton Dach · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 12 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

2P

1G 1A

vs ANA

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)80 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 3 of 4 goals live there

Defensive floor: 37 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2007-08Ottawa Senators456390
2008-09Ottawa Senators81171532-10
2009-10Ottawa Senators61917266
2010-11Ottawa Senators82142034-19
2011-12Ottawa Senators821532472
2012-13Columbus Blue Jackets45613196
2013-14Columbus Blue Jackets701821395
2014-15Columbus Blue Jackets7931427316
2015-16Columbus Blue Jackets72122537-14
2016-17Columbus Blue Jackets79262551-4
2017-18Columbus Blue Jackets721518331
2018-19Columbus Blue Jackets7317183512
2019-20Columbus Blue Jackets67102131-3
2020-21Columbus Blue Jackets427916-3
2020-21Toronto Maple Leafs70445
2021-22Boston Bruins6421113-13
2022-23Boston Bruins6010162618
2023-24Chicago Blackhawks74172037-29
2024-25Chicago Blackhawks78152035-17
2025-26Chicago Blackhawks3738112
2025-26Minnesota Wild171340
Career6 teams1287251361612-39