Regular season

Hayden Hodgson

Ottawa Senators · RW · #42

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?29 hits (24.8/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'2"
WT: 226 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: R
From: Windsor, CAN

57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2828pctl

2828pctl

3434pctl

4848pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.000pctl

0.000pctl

0.000pctl

0.41pctl

-250pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2%19pctl

1.2531pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3540pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

3.42pctl

24.899pctl

0.3360pctl

0.000pctl

0:014pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 2 GP tracked · 0h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

73.0%100pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

15.4 min0pctl

Support received?

15.1 min100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4331pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1414pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.00/gm100pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 70 EV min

General Offense

3.4239

6.8445

Shot Setups/60?

0.8648

Chance Setups/60?

0.8653

Primary Contributions/60?

4.2840

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0039

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0044

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8657

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.8661

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0046

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0041

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7155

Rush Offense/60?

5.9943

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0039

0.0039

0.0041

Deflections/60?

3.4261

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0041

Entries Finished/60?

0.8653

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.8660

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.8644

0.8661

0.0039

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0045

Forechecking

16.2561

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.81M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Hayden Hodgson	57	Wrecking Ball	0 P · 10 GP	$0.81M	$1.46M	C+$0.7M	this player
Max Jones	59	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 21 GP	$1.00M	$1.83M	B+$0.8M	90%
Noah Gregor	59	Depth Forward	9 P · 37 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	85%
Reid Schaefer	55	Depth Forward	8 P · 47 GP	$0.89M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	84%
Cole Koepke	58	Wrecking Ball	17 P · 66 GP	$1.00M	$1.64M	C+$0.6M	82%

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 4 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 11-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:55 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 11-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:04 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 11-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:34 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 11-20

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:14 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 11-22

0G 0A · 0 shots · 3:13 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 11-24

0G 0A · 2 shots · 5:44 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 11-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:38 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 11-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:00 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 12-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 1:53 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 04-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:00 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)11 events shown

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Philadelphia Flyers	6	1	2	3	-1
2022-23	Philadelphia Flyers	1	0	0	0	0
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	2	0	0	0	-2
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	10	0	0	0	-2
Career	2 teams	19	1	2	3	-5