HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brett Berard

Montréal Canadiens · LW · #65
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?0 points in 13 games in a supporting role
HT
5'9"
WT
175 lb
Age
23
Shoots
L
From
Providence, USA
Draft
2020 NYR · R5 #134
58Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2828pctl
Playmaking?
3535pctl
Transition?
5151pctl
Defense?
5252pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.000pctl
Goals / GP?
0.000pctl
Assists / GP?
0.000pctl
Shots / GP?
0.87pctl
Plus/Minus?
-154pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.9%42pctl
ZEIS?
2.1967pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5868pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
4.48pctl
Hits / 60?
7.474pctl
Take : Give?
0.112pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.9497pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:000pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 7 GP tracked · 1h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.5 min4pctl
Support received?
16.4 min79pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 137 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.87M

cap hit

$1.64M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brett Berard58$0.87MB+$0.8Mthis player
Noah Gregor59$0.78MB+$1.1M91%
Tanner Jeannot58$3.40MD$1.8M91%
Cole Koepke58$1.00MC+$0.6M89%
Max Jones59$1.00MB+$0.8M88%

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 3 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)35 events shown

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2024-25New York Rangers356410-6
2025-26New York Rangers13000-1
Career1 team486410-7