Regular season

Jackson Blake

Carolina Hurricanes · RW · #53

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 53 points and honest two-way play

HT: 5'11"
WT: 185 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: R
From: Fargo, USA
Draft: 2021 CAR · R4 #109

79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7676pctl

7575pctl

7272pctl

4646pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.6573pctl

0.2774pctl

0.3874pctl

2.177pctl

+473pctl

1274pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

9.1%84pctl

2.7980pctl

0.2487pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3642pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.874pctl

0.61pctl

0.3357pctl

1.5236pctl

2:1068pctl

0:0240pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

59.8%98pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

49.1%48pctl

O-zone deployment?

64%94pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min36pctl

Support received?

17.5 min42pctl

D-zone deployment?

36%6pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1592pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

2.1195pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5487pctl

1.00×53pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.22/gm50pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.3%79pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1159 EV min

General Offense

6.6370

11.2488

Shot Setups/60?

1.2978

Chance Setups/60?

1.1986

Primary Contributions/60?

7.9272

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6271

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0549

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8376

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.6286

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2681

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6664

Rush Offense/60?

9.7977

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5230

0.8860

0.1651

Deflections/60?

1.9277

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1659

Entries Finished/60?

0.8864

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.7281

Entry → Chance %?

82%85

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2457

0.2648

0.9862

Retrieval Success %?

21%38

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0562

Exit Success %?

4%58

Forechecking

1.0916

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.91M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$6.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jackson Blake	79	Middle-Six Engine	53 P · 81 GP	$0.91M	$7.28M	A++$6.4M	this player
Beckett Sennecke	80	Middle-Six Engine	60 P · 82 GP	$0.94M	$7.61M	A++$6.7M	93%
Mason Marchment	78	Middle-Six Engine	45 P · 68 GP	$4.50M	$6.95M	A+$2.4M	92%
Jimmy Snuggerud	81	Middle-Six Engine	51 P · 70 GP	$0.95M	$7.95M	A++$7.0M	89%
Anders Lee	75	Middle-Six Engine	42 P · 82 GP	$7.00M	$5.99M	D−$1.0M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Taylor Hall · 17 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jackson’s goals

Creates for

goals Jackson assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

9 pts · 2 G · 7 A · 20 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NJD

1P

1G 0A

vs NJD 03-28

1G 0A · 1 shots · 13:43 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-29

0G 0A · 3 shots · 18:43 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-31

0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:25 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ 04-02

0G 1A · 1 shots · 15:42 TOI

vs NYI

1P

1G 0A

vs NYI 04-04

1G 0A · 3 shots · 16:29 TOI

@ OTT

2P

0G 2A

@ OTT 04-05

0G 2A · 0 shots · 15:14 TOI

vs BOS

2P

0G 2A

vs BOS 04-07

0G 2A · 2 shots · 20:12 TOI

@ CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI 04-09

0G 1A · 0 shots · 17:20 TOI

@ PHI

1P

0G 1A

@ PHI 04-13

0G 1A · 3 shots · 20:26 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-14

0G 0A · 4 shots · 12:58 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)349 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 9 of 22 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 33 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 47 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Carolina Hurricanes	1	0	0	0	-2
2024-25	Carolina Hurricanes	80	17	17	34	10
2025-26	Carolina Hurricanes	81	22	31	53	4
Career	1 team	162	39	48	87	12