Regular season

Nate Danielson

Detroit Red Wings · C · #29

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?7 points in 28 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 195 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: Edmonton, CAN
Draft: 2023 DET · R1 #9

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3131pctl

5151pctl

2727pctl

3434pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2525pctl

0.0715pctl

0.1834pctl

1.128pctl

-730pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.5%49pctl

1.0523pctl

0.1873pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.046pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

37.7%5pctl

D-Zone FO %?

37.8%7pctl

5.239pctl

0.4781pctl

1:3061pctl

0:0115pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 19 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

43.8%11pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

36.4%8pctl

O-zone deployment?

45%31pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.3 min2pctl

Support received?

16.3 min84pctl

D-zone deployment?

55%69pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0753pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8150pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4169pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm66pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.7%21pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 267 EV min

General Offense

5.6250

6.7437

Shot Setups/60?

1.1259

Chance Setups/60?

0.6745

Primary Contributions/60?

6.7452

Rebounds Created/60?

0.9074

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.4576

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.9069

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0025

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2266

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1240

Rush Offense/60?

6.9742

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.3575

1.3572

0.0028

Deflections/60?

2.0269

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2265

Entries Finished/60?

0.4532

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2229

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.2575

0.2245

2.0276

Retrieval Success %?

10%30

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

1.8036

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Nate Danielson	61	Depth Forward	7 P · 28 GP	$0.89M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	this player
Oliver Moore	61	Depth Forward	19 P · 51 GP	$0.94M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	90%
Brad Lambert	59	Depth Forward	6 P · 25 GP	$0.89M	$1.83M	B+$0.9M	85%
Gage Goncalves	61	Depth Forward	33 P · 74 GP	$1.20M	$2.24M	B+$1.0M	85%
Denver Barkey	64	Depth Forward	17 P · 43 GP	$0.88M	$2.92M	A+$2.0M	85%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Nate’s goals

Creates for

goals Nate assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 6 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 12-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:06 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 12-17

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:38 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 12-20

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:28 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 12-21

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:07 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 12-23

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:50 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 12-27

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:06 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 12-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:42 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 12-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:28 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 01-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:44 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 01-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:52 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)103 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 11 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Detroit Red Wings	28	2	5	7	-7
Career	1 team	28	2	5	7	-7