HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Chandler Stephenson

Seattle Kraken · C · #9
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?49 points in 80 games in a supporting role
HT
6'0"
WT
201 lb
Age
32
Shoots
L
From
Saskatoon, CAN
Draft
2012 WSH · R3 #77
68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3939pctl
Playmaking?
5353pctl
Transition?
3030pctl
Defense?
8181pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.6170pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2055pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4178pctl
Shots / GP?
1.232pctl
Plus/Minus?
-244pctl
PP Points?
1682pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.5%49pctl
ZEIS?
1.4138pctl
PSPL?
0.0832pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7179pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
52.1%66pctl
D-Zone FO %?
49.0%49pctl
Draws / GP
18.297pctl
Take : Give?
0.4882pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:4175pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5078pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.1 min98pctl
Support received?
18.0 min30pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1190 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.25M

cap hit

$3.94M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Chandler Stephenson68$6.25MD$2.3Mthis player
Alexander Wennberg73--76%
Anze Kopitar72--74%
Eetu Luostarinen68$3.00MB+$0.9M73%
Ryan Greene63$0.95MB+$1.7M71%

Chemistry

Top connection: Eeli Tolvanen · 11 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 1 G · 4 A · 4 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA

1P

0G 1A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY

1P

1G 0A

vs LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)512 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 16 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 60 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Washington Capitals9000-3
2016-17Washington Capitals40000
2017-18Washington Capitals676121813
2018-19Washington Capitals645611-13
2019-20Washington Capitals243145
2019-20Vegas Golden Knights418142219
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights5114213522
2021-22Vegas Golden Knights792143645
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights8116496512
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights75163551-9
2024-25Seattle Kraken78133851-9
2025-26Seattle Kraken80163349-24
Career3 teams65311825237018