Regular season

Vince Dunn

Seattle Kraken · D · #29

Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?86 blocks across 81 games of regular duty

HT: 6'0"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: L
From: Mississauga, CAN
Draft: 2015 STL · R2 #56

78Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8282pctl

8181pctl

8686pctl

4040pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.5488pctl

0.1486pctl

0.4186pctl

2.294pctl

-242pctl

2194pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.5%49pctl

3.1686pctl

0.2080pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2830pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.0627pctl

2.9413pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.419pctl

0.910pctl

0.3377pctl

2:4591pctl

0:054pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 17h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

44.7%15pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.6%64pctl

O-zone deployment?

47%39pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min91pctl

Support received?

17.4 min44pctl

D-zone deployment?

53%61pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1487pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3324pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3151pctl

1.02×71pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.25/gm37pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.5%66pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1526 EV min

General Offense

4.7681

3.4661

Shot Setups/60?

0.7544

Chance Setups/60?

0.3919

Primary Contributions/60?

5.5179

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2840

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1288

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2829

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1240

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0430

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5741

Rush Offense/60?

5.9459

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3156

0.3976

0.0862

Deflections/60?

0.1268

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1285

Entries Finished/60?

0.2850

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1668

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.7151

0.5160

2.2049

Retrieval Success %?

19%57

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Exit Success %?

0%36

Forechecking

0.3138

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.35M

cap hit

$7.44M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Vince Dunn	78	Steady Blueliner	44 P · 81 GP	$7.35M	$7.44M	C+$0.1M	this player
Morgan Rielly	77	Steady Blueliner	36 P · 78 GP	$7.50M	$7.09M	C−$0.4M	86%
Brandon Montour	77	Offensive QB	32 P · 64 GP	$7.14M	$7.09M	C−$0.1M	86%
Erik Karlsson	81	Offensive QB	66 P · 75 GP	$11.50M	$8.53M	F−$3.0M	85%
Josh Morrissey	80	Offensive QB	55 P · 77 GP	$6.25M	$8.16M	B+$1.9M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jared McCann · 10 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Vince’s goals

Creates for

goals Vince assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 26 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 03-31

0G 0A · 5 shots · 22:01 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-02

0G 0A · 4 shots · 19:08 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:25 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:09 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 04-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:18 TOI

vs VGK

2P

0G 2A

vs VGK 04-09

0G 2A · 2 shots · 22:50 TOI

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY 04-11

0G 1A · 2 shots · 18:56 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 04-13

0G 0A · 5 shots · 15:44 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-15

0G 0A · 4 shots · 19:41 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-16

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:36 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)496 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 11 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 30 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 85 blocks · 14 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	St. Louis Blues	75	5	19	24	1
2018-19	St. Louis Blues	78	12	23	35	14
2019-20	St. Louis Blues	71	9	14	23	15
2020-21	St. Louis Blues	43	6	14	20	-8
2021-22	Seattle Kraken	73	7	28	35	-21
2022-23	Seattle Kraken	81	14	50	64	28
2023-24	Seattle Kraken	59	11	35	46	8
2024-25	Seattle Kraken	62	11	28	39	-3
2025-26	Seattle Kraken	81	11	33	44	-24
Career	2 teams	623	86	244	330	10