HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jaden Schwartz

Colorado Avalanche · C · #17
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?26 points in 50 games in a supporting role
HT
5'10"
WT
185 lb
Age
34
Shoots
L
From
Wilcox, CAN
Draft
2010 STL · R1 #14
70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5858pctl
Playmaking?
4545pctl
Transition?
6565pctl
Defense?
8585pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5262pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2260pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3063pctl
Shots / GP?
1.660pctl
Plus/Minus?
+575pctl
PP Points?
346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.3%81pctl
ZEIS?
2.6377pctl
PSPL?
0.0728pctl
Def Suppression?
0.9290pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
59.3%97pctl
Draws / GP
1.115pctl
Take : Give?
0.5388pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:3864pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5049pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 24 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min80pctl
Support received?
17.9 min33pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 683 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.50M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jaden Schwartz70$5.50MD$1.0Mthis player
Eeli Tolvanen68--89%
Simon Holmstrom70$3.63MB+$0.9M87%
Tyson Foerster73$3.75MB+$1.6M85%
Zach Benson73$0.95MA++$4.4M84%

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 2 G · 4 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs STL

1P

1G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

2P

1G 1A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

vs LAK

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)181 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 11 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 46 blocks · 9 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12St. Louis Blues72131
2012-13St. Louis Blues457613-4
2013-14St. Louis Blues8025315628
2014-15St. Louis Blues7528356313
2015-16St. Louis Blues33814228
2016-17St. Louis Blues7819365514
2017-18St. Louis Blues6224355915
2018-19St. Louis Blues69112536-6
2019-20St. Louis Blues712235573
2020-21St. Louis Blues40813212
2021-22Seattle Kraken3781523-13
2022-23Seattle Kraken71211940-17
2023-24Seattle Kraken62131730-15
2024-25Seattle Kraken81262349-6
2025-26Seattle Kraken501115265
Career2 teams86123332055328