Regular season

Kyle Capobianco

Dallas Stars · D · #20

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?5 points and 27 blocks in 33 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'3"
WT: 194 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Mississauga, CAN
Draft: 2015 ARI · R3 #63

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3636pctl

1717pctl

4848pctl

5959pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.1516pctl

0.0653pctl

0.099pctl

0.53pctl

+151pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1%4pctl

1.8655pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5564pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.829pctl

4.0449pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

5.034pctl

1.834pctl

0.4592pctl

0:2459pctl

0:010pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

50.4%56pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.4%40pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%57pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.2 min1pctl

Support received?

15.8 min94pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%43pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0644pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.157pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.095pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.16/gm77pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.1%32pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 387 EV min

General Offense

2.6428

4.0369

Shot Setups/60?

0.6236

Chance Setups/60?

0.6246

Primary Contributions/60?

3.2628

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0020

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0036

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4763

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0024

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0027

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0926

Rush Offense/60?

6.6768

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3154

0.3160

0.1672

Deflections/60?

0.0030

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0036

Entries Finished/60?

0.0021

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0026

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.0228

0.6269

1.4023

Retrieval Success %?

31%78

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0040

Exit Success %?

0%40

Forechecking

0.4757

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$3.35M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Kyle Capobianco	65	Depth Defenseman	5 P · 33 GP	$0.78M	$3.35M	A+$2.6M	this player
Adam Boqvist	64	Depth Defenseman	4 P · 28 GP	-	$3.09M	-	85%
Albert Johansson	65	Depth Defenseman	11 P · 82 GP	$1.13M	$3.35M	A+$2.2M	84%
Alexander Petrovic	64	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 54 GP	$0.78M	$3.09M	A+$2.3M	81%
Josh Mahura	63	Depth Defenseman	3 P · 23 GP	$0.91M	$2.83M	B+$1.9M	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jason Robertson · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Kyle’s goals

Creates for

goals Kyle assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 5 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 01-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:29 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 01-18

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:23 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 01-23

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:50 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 01-27

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:25 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 01-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:20 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 01-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:00 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 02-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:28 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 02-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:17 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:49 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:57 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)102 events shown

The office: the high slot - 1 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 5 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 27 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	Arizona Coyotes	1	0	0	0	-1
2018-19	Arizona Coyotes	2	0	0	0	-2
2019-20	Arizona Coyotes	9	1	0	1	-1
2020-21	Arizona Coyotes	2	0	0	0	-2
2021-22	Arizona Coyotes	45	2	7	9	-12
2022-23	Winnipeg Jets	14	2	0	2	1
2024-25	Dallas Stars	1	0	0	0	-2
2025-26	Dallas Stars	33	2	3	5	1
Career	3 teams	107	7	10	17	-18