Regular season

Mathieu Olivier

Columbus Blue Jackets · RW · #24

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 209 hits (14.4/60)

HT: 6'1"
WT: 232 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: R
From: Biloxi, USA

68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6262pctl

4242pctl

5252pctl

8484pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4349pctl

0.2568pctl

0.1835pctl

1.554pctl

+1389pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7%73pctl

1.9861pctl

0.1251pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8185pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.444pctl

14.490pctl

0.5289pctl

2.9086pctl

0:028pctl

0:5070pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 33 GP tracked · 8h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.5%92pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

61.3%92pctl

O-zone deployment?

41%20pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min62pctl

Support received?

18.8 min11pctl

D-zone deployment?

59%80pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1174pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.6688pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5285pctl

1.08×93pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm82pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.1%56pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 815 EV min

General Offense

6.6269

8.9166

Shot Setups/60?

0.9652

Chance Setups/60?

0.7450

Primary Contributions/60?

7.5865

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4448

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6661

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2948

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1558

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9977

Rush Offense/60?

8.2458

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.1883

1.1876

0.2977

Deflections/60?

1.9175

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1557

Entries Finished/60?

0.7451

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3739

Entry → Chance %?

50%25

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.8127

0.2954

0.5224

Retrieval Success %?

36%74

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

11.0483

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.00M

cap hit

$3.94M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Mathieu Olivier	68	Depth Forward	26 P · 61 GP	$3.00M	$3.94M	B+$0.9M	this player
Anthony Beauvillier	66	Depth Forward	28 P · 82 GP	$2.75M	$3.42M	C+$0.7M	88%
Jordan Martinook	65	Depth Forward	29 P · 77 GP	$3.08M	$3.17M	C+$0.1M	83%
Joel Armia	64	Depth Forward	25 P · 67 GP	$2.50M	$2.92M	C+$0.4M	80%
Vasily Podkolzin	68	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$1.00M	$3.94M	A+$2.9M	80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Charlie Coyle · 12 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Mathieu’s goals

Creates for

goals Mathieu assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 03-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:05 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:25 TOI

vs CAR

1P

1G 0A

vs CAR 03-17

1G 0A · 4 shots · 11:27 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 03-19

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:59 TOI

vs SEA

2P

1G 1A

vs SEA 03-21

1G 1A · 2 shots · 14:14 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-22

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:27 TOI

@ PHI

1P

1G 0A

@ PHI 03-24

1G 0A · 5 shots · 16:44 TOI

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL 03-26

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:47 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:40 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 3:06 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)188 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 15 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 54 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Nashville Predators	8	0	1	1	1
2020-21	Nashville Predators	30	3	2	5	-1
2021-22	Nashville Predators	10	0	1	1	-3
2022-23	Columbus Blue Jackets	66	5	10	15	-20
2023-24	Columbus Blue Jackets	54	5	7	12	-4
2024-25	Columbus Blue Jackets	82	18	14	32	-4
2025-26	Columbus Blue Jackets	61	15	11	26	13
Career	2 teams	311	46	46	92	-18