HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Charlie Coyle

Columbus Blue Jackets · C · #3
Top-six playerTwo-Way Force?Scores while suppressing: Def Sup 0.83 plus 58 points
HT
6'3"
WT
221 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
East Weymouth, USA
Draft
2010 SJS · R1 #28
79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
8080pctl
Transition?
5050pctl
Defense?
8989pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7178pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2467pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4684pctl
Shots / GP?
1.864pctl
Plus/Minus?
+370pctl
PP Points?
1376pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.3%81pctl
ZEIS?
1.8856pctl
PSPL?
0.2487pctl
Def Suppression?
0.8386pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
50.7%58pctl
D-Zone FO %?
50.2%54pctl
Draws / GP
15.087pctl
Take : Give?
0.6494pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:0169pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:0589pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min90pctl
Support received?
18.4 min17pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1148 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.25M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Charlie Coyle79$5.25MA+$2.0Mthis player
Anthony Cirelli80$6.25MB+$1.4M84%
Ryan O'Reilly84$4.50MA++$4.5M82%
Elias Pettersson78$11.60MF$4.7M79%
Elias Lindholm79$7.75MC$0.5M78%

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 3 G · 0 A · 16 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

1P

1G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

2P

2G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)564 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 12 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 29 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 67 blocks · 16 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13Minnesota Wild3786143
2013-14Minnesota Wild70121830-7
2014-15Minnesota Wild8211243513
2015-16Minnesota Wild822121421
2016-17Minnesota Wild8218385613
2017-18Minnesota Wild661126378
2018-19Minnesota Wild601018281
2018-19Boston Bruins21246-2
2019-20Boston Bruins701621379
2020-21Boston Bruins5161016-4
2021-22Boston Bruins82162844-6
2022-23Boston Bruins8216294529
2023-24Boston Bruins82253560-2
2024-25Boston Bruins6415722-14
2024-25Colorado Avalanche19211135
2025-26Columbus Blue Jackets822038583
Career4 teams103220933454350