HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Ivan Provorov

Columbus Blue Jackets · D · #9
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?134 blocks across 82 games of regular duty
HT
6'1"
WT
224 lb
Age
29
Shoots
L
From
Yaroslavl, RUS
Draft
2015 PHI · R1 #7
74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7575pctl
Playmaking?
6666pctl
Transition?
7575pctl
Defense?
4545pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3870pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1179pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2765pctl
Shots / GP?
1.987pctl
Plus/Minus?
+1483pctl
PP Points?
576pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.2%34pctl
ZEIS?
1.9961pctl
PSPL?
0.1563pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3946pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.6377pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.9546pctl
Hits / 60?
0.87pctl
Take : Give?
0.2649pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:0671pctl
PK TOI / GP?
3:0296pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 21h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.6 min68pctl
Support received?
16.9 min62pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1696 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.50M

cap hit

$6.07M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Ivan Provorov74$8.50MD$2.4Mthis player
Damon Severson76$6.25MC+$0.5M85%
K'Andre Miller78$7.50MC$0.1M85%
Vladislav Gavrikov71$7.00MD$1.9M83%
Jacob Trouba79$8.00MC$0.2M81%

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 24 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs SJS

1P

0G 1A

vs BOS

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

1P

1G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

1P

0G 1A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)510 events shown

The office: the right circle - 2 of 9 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 133 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Philadelphia Flyers8262430-7
2017-18Philadelphia Flyers8217244117
2018-19Philadelphia Flyers8271926-16
2019-20Philadelphia Flyers6913233611
2020-21Philadelphia Flyers56719264
2021-22Philadelphia Flyers7992231-20
2022-23Philadelphia Flyers8262127-17
2023-24Columbus Blue Jackets8252732-11
2024-25Columbus Blue Jackets827263311
2025-26Columbus Blue Jackets829223114
Career2 teams77886227313-14