HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jacob Bernard-Docker

Detroit Red Wings · D · #25
Depth DDepth Defenseman?87 blocks in 63 games of hard minutes
HT
6'1"
WT
196 lb
Age
26
Shoots
R
From
Canmore, CAN
Draft
2018 OTT · R1 #26
59Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
1616pctl
Playmaking?
1515pctl
Transition?
2323pctl
Defense?
5858pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.084pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0214pctl
Assists / GP?
0.064pctl
Shots / GP?
0.712pctl
Plus/Minus?
047pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
0.9%3pctl
ZEIS?
0.7613pctl
PSPL?
0.0310pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7481pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.3858pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.5987pctl
Hits / 60?
4.272pctl
Take : Give?
0.2025pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0112pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:2547pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.2 min38pctl
Support received?
16.1 min90pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 842 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.88M

cap hit

$1.91M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jacob Bernard-Docker59$0.88MB+$1.0Mthis player
Vincent Iorio60$0.81MB+$1.3M92%
Joel Hanley57$1.75MC$0.2M90%
Egor Zamula60--88%
Alec Regula61$0.81MB+$1.5M88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Jacob’s goals

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 4 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

1P

1G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)208 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 87 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2020-21Ottawa Senators50002
2021-22Ottawa Senators80111
2022-23Ottawa Senators19011-2
2023-24Ottawa Senators7241014-7
2024-25Ottawa Senators251342
2024-25Buffalo Sabres151343
2025-26Detroit Red Wings631450
Career3 teams20772229-1