Regular season

Adam Edstrom

Nashville Predators · C · #84

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 65 hits (11.8/60)

HT: 6'7"
WT: 232 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Karlstad, SWE
Draft: 2019 NYR · R6 #161

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2626pctl

2525pctl

1818pctl

5858pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.147pctl

0.0919pctl

0.065pctl

0.914pctl

+163pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.1%44pctl

0.518pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5665pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

0.611pctl

0.2828pctl

0:012pctl

0:0425pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 21 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.1%45pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

42.9%22pctl

O-zone deployment?

42%21pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min9pctl

Support received?

15.6 min96pctl

D-zone deployment?

58%79pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0320pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6339pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2946pctl

0.88×7pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.16/gm75pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.6%45pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 329 EV min

General Offense

5.6650

7.8550

Shot Setups/60?

1.1059

Chance Setups/60?

0.7349

Primary Contributions/60?

6.7552

Rebounds Created/60?

0.9177

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5548

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5572

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1878

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0027

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1038

Rush Offense/60?

6.5737

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9166

0.7345

0.1856

Deflections/60?

2.1974

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0027

Entries Finished/60?

0.3727

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1826

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.1978

0.5572

1.6477

Retrieval Success %?

25%49

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0038

Exit Success %?

0%36

Forechecking

6.9467

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.97M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Adam Edstrom	55	Depth Forward	5 P · 35 GP	$0.97M	$1.16M	C+$0.2M	this player
Nico Sturm	56	Depth Forward	11 P · 49 GP	$2.00M	$1.30M	C−$0.7M	93%
Juuso Parssinen	56	Depth Forward	3 P · 20 GP	$1.25M	$1.30M	C+$0.1M	92%
Martin Pospisil	54	Wrecking Ball	3 P · 22 GP	$1.00M	$1.03M	C+$0.0M	91%
Luke Kunin	53	Depth Forward	10 P · 62 GP	-	$0.92M	-	89%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Adam’s goals

Creates for

goals Adam assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 03-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 7:34 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:30 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:22 TOI

@ WPG

1P

1G 0A

@ WPG 03-12

1G 0A · 2 shots · 13:45 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 03-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:33 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 03-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:42 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-18

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:33 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-19

0G 0A · 2 shots · 8:21 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-22

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:12 TOI

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 03-23

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:06 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)60 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 7 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 30 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	New York Rangers	11	2	0	2	2
2024-25	New York Rangers	51	5	4	9	-5
2025-26	New York Rangers	35	3	2	5	1
Career	1 team	97	10	6	16	-2