HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Sam Carrick

Buffalo Sabres · C · #10
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 106 hits (8.3/60)
HT
6'0"
WT
202 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
Stouffville, CAN
Draft
2010 TOR · R5 #144
55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2626pctl
Playmaking?
2424pctl
Transition?
2121pctl
Defense?
4444pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2218pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1230pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1012pctl
Shots / GP?
1.023pctl
Plus/Minus?
+266pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.6%39pctl
ZEIS?
1.1226pctl
PSPL?
0.0832pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2728pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
54.8%83pctl
D-Zone FO %?
57.3%91pctl
Draws / GP
7.450pctl
Take : Give?
0.4577pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:014pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:6054pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 8h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.7 min8pctl
Support received?
15.9 min92pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 691 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.00M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Sam Carrick55$1.00MC+$0.2Mthis player
Juuso Parssinen56$1.25MC+$0.1M91%
Martin Pospisil54$1.00MC+$0.0M91%
Jansen Harkins55$0.79MC+$0.4M90%
Lars Eller55$1.25MC$0.1M89%

Chemistry

Top connection: Zach Benson · 3 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 4 G · 1 A · 15 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WSH

1P

1G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

2P

2G 0A

@ LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)335 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 9 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 36 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Toronto Maple Leafs161121
2015-16Toronto Maple Leafs3000-2
2018-19Anaheim Ducks6011-1
2019-20Anaheim Ducks9112-3
2020-21Anaheim Ducks132464
2021-22Anaheim Ducks6411819-12
2022-23Anaheim Ducks52347-17
2023-24Anaheim Ducks618311-11
2023-24Edmonton Oilers162350
2024-25New York Rangers80614205
2025-26New York Rangers604610-2
2025-26Buffalo Sabres135164
Career5 teams393434689-34