Regular season

Alexis Lafrenière

New York Rangers · LW · #13

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 57 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'2"
WT: 191 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: St-Eustache, CAN
Draft: 2020 NYR · R1 #1

77Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7272pctl

6060pctl

6969pctl

5959pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.7077pctl

0.2977pctl

0.4077pctl

2.072pctl

-730pctl

1580pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

9.6%85pctl

2.5776pctl

0.1251pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4047pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.853pctl

3.542pctl

0.4985pctl

1.7450pctl

2:2576pctl

0:0134pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 15h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

54.5%86pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.4%82pctl

O-zone deployment?

55%72pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.7 min72pctl

Support received?

19.6 min2pctl

D-zone deployment?

45%28pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1177pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.6186pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5183pctl

0.99×50pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm84pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.7%70pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1243 EV min

General Offense

5.9958

8.8867

Shot Setups/60?

0.8744

Chance Setups/60?

0.7247

Primary Contributions/60?

6.8555

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5867

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0547

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4333

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2437

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1458

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6463

Rush Offense/60?

8.1657

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8267

0.8758

0.1962

Deflections/60?

1.7972

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0527

Entries Finished/60?

0.7249

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5867

Entry → Chance %?

80%83

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2155

0.2444

0.9761

Retrieval Success %?

20%35

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0033

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

2.9444

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0577

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.45M

cap hit

$6.62M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Alexis Lafrenière	77	Middle-Six Engine	57 P · 82 GP	$7.45M	$6.62M	D−$0.8M	this player
Josh Doan	77	Middle-Six Engine	52 P · 82 GP	$0.93M	$6.62M	A++$5.7M	90%
Jordan Eberle	78	Middle-Six Engine	55 P · 80 GP	$4.75M	$6.95M	A+$2.2M	86%
Quinton Byfield	77	Middle-Six Engine	49 P · 79 GP	$6.25M	$6.62M	C+$0.4M	85%
Artturi Lehkonen	80	Middle-Six Engine	48 P · 70 GP	$4.50M	$7.61M	A+$3.1M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mika Zibanejad · 18 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Alexis’s goals

Creates for

goals Alexis assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 3 G · 4 A · 18 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

1P

1G 0A

vs CHI 03-27

1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:34 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:17 TOI

vs NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs NJD 03-31

0G 1A · 2 shots · 17:52 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-02

0G 0A · 4 shots · 20:17 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 04-04

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:00 TOI

vs WSH

1P

0G 1A

vs WSH 04-05

0G 1A · 2 shots · 18:06 TOI

vs BUF

2P

2G 0A

vs BUF 04-08

2G 0A · 2 shots · 15:07 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:58 TOI

@ FLA

1P

0G 1A

@ FLA 04-13

0G 1A · 1 shots · 22:10 TOI

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL 04-15

0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:13 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)331 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 10 of 24 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 57 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	New York Rangers	56	12	9	21	-7
2021-22	New York Rangers	79	19	12	31	2
2022-23	New York Rangers	81	16	23	39	10
2023-24	New York Rangers	82	28	29	57	2
2024-25	New York Rangers	82	17	28	45	-13
2025-26	New York Rangers	82	24	33	57	-7
Career	1 team	462	116	134	250	-13