HockeyAlpha
Regular season

J.T. Miller

New York Rangers · C · #10
Top-six playerFaceoff General?61.5% on 890 draws - possession starts with him
HT
6'0"
WT
211 lb
Age
33
Shoots
L
From
East Palestine, USA
Draft
2011 NYR · R1 #15
77Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7373pctl
Playmaking?
5656pctl
Transition?
6464pctl
Defense?
3838pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7882pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2570pctl
Assists / GP?
0.5390pctl
Shots / GP?
2.176pctl
Plus/Minus?
-301pctl
PP Points?
1985pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
11.2%93pctl
ZEIS?
2.1365pctl
PSPL?
0.0728pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3845pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
61.5%99pctl
D-Zone FO %?
59.5%96pctl
Draws / GP
13.179pctl
Take : Give?
0.1810pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:0884pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5078pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.0 min94pctl
Support received?
18.9 min9pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1033 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.00M

cap hit

$6.62M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
J.T. Miller77$8.00MD$1.4Mthis player
Gabriel Vilardi81$7.50MC+$0.5M84%
Pavel Zacha79$4.75MA+$2.5M84%
Anton Lundell78$5.00MB+$1.9M80%
Morgan Geekie81$5.50MA+$2.5M80%

Recent form · last 10 games

11 pts · 3 G · 8 A · 20 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

3P

1G 2A

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs NJD

1P

1G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs WSH

2P

1G 1A

vs BUF

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

2P

0G 2A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)545 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 8 of 17 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 21 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 47 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13New York Rangers26224-7
2013-14New York Rangers30336-6
2014-15New York Rangers581013235
2015-16New York Rangers8222214310
2016-17New York Rangers8222345617
2017-18New York Rangers63132740-1
2017-18Tampa Bay Lightning1910818-3
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning751334478
2019-20Vancouver Canucks6927457211
2020-21Vancouver Canucks53153146-7
2021-22Vancouver Canucks8032679915
2022-23Vancouver Canucks81325082-7
2023-24Vancouver Canucks81376610332
2024-25Vancouver Canucks4092635-4
2024-25New York Rangers32132235-2
2025-26New York Rangers68173653-30
Career3 teams93927748576231