HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Zack Ostapchuk

San Jose Sharks · C · #63
Depth playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 140 hits (14.1/60)
HT
6'4"
WT
212 lb
Age
23
Shoots
L
From
St. Albert, CAN
Draft
2021 OTT · R2 #39
53Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
1717pctl
Playmaking?
3434pctl
Transition?
1414pctl
Defense?
6464pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.124pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0714pctl
Assists / GP?
0.054pctl
Shots / GP?
0.77pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1120pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.9%30pctl
ZEIS?
0.8917pctl
PSPL?
0.1563pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4958pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
51.6%64pctl
D-Zone FO %?
49.7%51pctl
Draws / GP
7.752pctl
Take : Give?
0.4068pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0211pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:0957pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 38 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.6 min5pctl
Support received?
15.4 min98pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 525 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.82M

cap hit

$0.92M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Zack Ostapchuk53$0.82MC+$0.1Mthis player
Marc Gatcomb55$0.90MC+$0.3M92%
Oskar Bäck53$0.82MC+$0.1M90%
Juho Lammikko55--89%
Luke Kunin53--89%

Chemistry

Top connection: Barclay Goodrow · 4 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 6 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

2P

1G 1A

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)240 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2023-24Ottawa Senators7000-1
2024-25Ottawa Senators43134-7
2024-25San Jose Sharks13000-1
2025-26San Jose Sharks59437-11
Career2 teams1225611-20