Regular season

Oskar Bäck

Dallas Stars · C · #10

Depth playerDepth Forward?12 points in 72 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'4"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Karlstad, SWE
Draft: 2018 DAL · R3 #75

53Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1616pctl

2727pctl

1313pctl

6767pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.179pctl

0.0715pctl

0.1013pctl

0.63pctl

+1085pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.6%26pctl

0.8416pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5463pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

42.9%15pctl

D-Zone FO %?

30.0%2pctl

1.013pctl

0.3966pctl

0:017pctl

2:1894pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.8%43pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

62.1%93pctl

O-zone deployment?

35%9pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min27pctl

Support received?

16.4 min80pctl

D-zone deployment?

65%91pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0319pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6842pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2232pctl

0.98×46pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm70pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.2%5pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 722 EV min

General Offense

2.8213

5.4017

Shot Setups/60?

0.6630

Chance Setups/60?

0.6642

Primary Contributions/60?

3.4914

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5056

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0029

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5852

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3352

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0877

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2576

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.5015

Rush Offense/60?

4.1514

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8365

0.5830

0.0019

Deflections/60?

1.7469

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0021

Entries Finished/60?

0.0813

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0815

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4167

0.5881

0.8349

Retrieval Success %?

41%78

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

1.7429

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.82M

cap hit

$0.92M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Oskar Bäck	53	Depth Forward	12 P · 72 GP	$0.82M	$0.92M	C+$0.1M	this player
Tyson Kozak	53	Depth Forward	6 P · 46 GP	$0.82M	$0.92M	C+$0.1M	90%
Zack Ostapchuk	53	Depth Forward	7 P · 59 GP	$0.82M	$0.92M	C+$0.1M	90%
Joseph Veleno	50	Depth Forward	5 P · 61 GP	$2.27M	$0.86M	D−$1.4M	88%
Barclay Goodrow	51	Depth Forward	12 P · 82 GP	$3.64M	$0.86M	F−$2.8M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Radek Faksa · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Oskar’s goals

Creates for

goals Oskar assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT 03-28

0G 1A · 2 shots · 12:27 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:12 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:29 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:17 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:35 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:53 TOI

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN 04-09

0G 1A · 1 shots · 13:24 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:36 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:27 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:36 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)110 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 42 blocks · 9 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Dallas Stars	73	4	12	16	1
2025-26	Dallas Stars	72	5	7	12	10
Career	1 team	145	9	19	28	11