HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Dmitry Orlov

San Jose Sharks · D · #9
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?37 points and 77 blocks in 82 games in a supporting role
HT
5'11"
WT
215 lb
Age
35
Shoots
L
From
Novokuznetsk, RUS
Draft
2009 WSH · R2 #55
63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4747pctl
Playmaking?
6363pctl
Transition?
4545pctl
Defense?
1818pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4580pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0432pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4187pctl
Shots / GP?
1.149pctl
Plus/Minus?
-281pctl
PP Points?
1892pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.5%25pctl
ZEIS?
0.8917pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
-0.133pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
0.9419pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.656pctl
Hits / 60?
4.272pctl
Take : Give?
0.2130pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:2889pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:4727pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 18h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.7 min70pctl
Support received?
17.2 min51pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1471 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.50M

cap hit

$2.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($3.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Dmitry Orlov63$6.50MF$3.7Mthis player
Artyom Levshunov66$0.97MA+$2.7M85%
Zeev Buium61$0.97MB+$1.4M81%
Brady Skjei65$7.00MF$3.6M77%
Sam Rinzel66$0.94MA+$2.7M76%

Chemistry

Top connection: Macklin Celebrini · 11 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 0 G · 6 A · 18 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs ANA

1P

0G 1A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

vs NSH

1P

0G 1A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)337 events shown

The office: the right circle - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 22 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 78 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Washington Capitals60316191
2012-13Washington Capitals50115
2013-14Washington Capitals543811-1
2015-16Washington Capitals82821298
2016-17Washington Capitals826273330
2017-18Washington Capitals8210213110
2018-19Washington Capitals82326293
2019-20Washington Capitals69423275
2020-21Washington Capitals518142216
2021-22Washington Capitals7612233525
2022-23Washington Capitals43316192
2022-23Boston Bruins234131710
2023-24Carolina Hurricanes82620264
2024-25Carolina Hurricanes766222816
2025-26San Jose Sharks8233437-28
Career4 teams94979285364106