HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Elias Pettersson

Vancouver Canucks · D · #25
Depth DHeavy Hitter?136 hits (7.8/60) - punishes the forecheck
HT
6'2"
WT
185 lb
Age
22
Shoots
L
From
Vasteras, SWE
Draft
2022 VAN · R3 #80
56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2727pctl
Playmaking?
2121pctl
Transition?
1919pctl
Defense?
4040pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1414pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0438pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1012pctl
Shots / GP?
0.712pctl
Plus/Minus?
-168pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.1%5pctl
ZEIS?
0.345pctl
PSPL?
0.0519pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2021pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.2143pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.8669pctl
Hits / 60?
7.894pctl
Take : Give?
0.2129pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0328pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:1038pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 11h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.1 min25pctl
Support received?
16.3 min84pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 963 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.84M

cap hit

$1.34M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Elias Pettersson56$0.84MC+$0.5Mthis player
Philippe Myers57$0.85MC+$0.7M93%
Dmitri Simashev54$0.95MC+$0.1M91%
Luke Schenn58$2.75MD$1.0M91%
Pierre-Olivier Joseph59--89%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 6 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)235 events shown

The office: the right circle - 2 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 86 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2024-25Vancouver Canucks28123-4
2025-26Vancouver Canucks703710-16
Career1 team984913-20