Regular season

Tom Willander

Vancouver Canucks · D · #5

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?21 points and 78 blocks in 70 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 180 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: Stockholm, SWE
Draft: 2023 VAN · R1 #11

62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4747pctl

4242pctl

2727pctl

4141pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3057pctl

0.0761pctl

0.2355pctl

0.828pctl

-233pctl

371pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.7%15pctl

0.6912pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5362pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.1132pctl

3.9344pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

5.036pctl

1.833pctl

0.1923pctl

1:1172pctl

0:2919pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

39.3%1pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

40.0%15pctl

O-zone deployment?

45%30pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min52pctl

Support received?

16.3 min84pctl

D-zone deployment?

55%70pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0210pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.1910pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.084pctl

0.90×9pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.15/gm78pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.0%53pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1072 EV min

General Offense

2.8026

2.4123

Shot Setups/60?

0.4516

Chance Setups/60?

0.4525

Primary Contributions/60?

3.2521

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1722

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1715

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0016

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0019

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3431

Rush Offense/60?

4.7027

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1728

0.0619

0.0025

Deflections/60?

0.0023

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0671

Entries Finished/60?

0.2237

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0635

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.4641

0.5667

1.9034

Retrieval Success %?

23%71

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0678

Exit Success %?

2%78

Forechecking

0.1718

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$2.59M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Tom Willander	62	Depth Defenseman	21 P · 70 GP	$0.95M	$2.59M	B+$1.6M	this player
Carson Soucy	61	Depth Defenseman	12 P · 76 GP	-	$2.35M	-	82%
Nick Jensen	61	Depth Defenseman	17 P · 61 GP	$4.05M	$2.35M	D−$1.7M	82%
Emil Andrae	60	Depth Defenseman	13 P · 61 GP	$0.90M	$2.12M	B+$1.2M	82%
Tyler Kleven	65	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 70 GP	$1.60M	$3.35M	B+$1.8M	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Elias Pettersson · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Tom’s goals

Creates for

goals Tom assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:05 TOI

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ COL 04-01

0G 1A · 0 shots · 18:57 TOI

@ MIN

1P

1G 0A

@ MIN 04-02

1G 0A · 2 shots · 22:48 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:14 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:09 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:48 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:45 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:03 TOI

vs LAK

1P

0G 1A

vs LAK 04-14

0G 1A · 3 shots · 21:20 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:29 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)241 events shown

The office: the high slot - 2 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 78 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Vancouver Canucks	70	5	16	21	-23
Career	1 team	70	5	16	21	-23