HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Elias Pettersson

Vancouver Canucks · C · #40
Top-six playerTwo-Way Force?Scores while suppressing: Def Sup 1.41 plus 51 points
HT
6'2"
WT
176 lb
Age
27
Shoots
L
From
Sundsvall, SWE
Draft
2017 VAN · R1 #5
78Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5959pctl
Playmaking?
7878pctl
Transition?
6666pctl
Defense?
8888pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.6976pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2056pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4986pctl
Shots / GP?
1.865pctl
Plus/Minus?
-301pctl
PP Points?
2289pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.5%82pctl
ZEIS?
2.5274pctl
PSPL?
0.2182pctl
Def Suppression?
1.4199pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
47.4%37pctl
D-Zone FO %?
45.2%33pctl
Draws / GP
18.397pctl
Take : Give?
0.4679pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:1387pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5652pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min88pctl
Support received?
18.3 min22pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1097 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$11.60M

cap hit

$6.95M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($4.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Elias Pettersson78$11.60MF$4.7Mthis player
Elias Lindholm79$7.75MC$0.5M85%
Mikael Granlund79$7.00MC+$0.3M82%
Joel Eriksson Ek80$5.25MA+$2.4M81%
Frank Nazar75$0.95MA++$5.0M80%

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 0 G · 6 A · 19 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

1P

0G 1A

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK

2P

0G 2A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)595 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 15 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 31 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 116 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2018-19Vancouver Canucks712838663
2019-20Vancouver Canucks6827396616
2020-21Vancouver Canucks261011210
2021-22Vancouver Canucks803236681
2022-23Vancouver Canucks80396310216
2023-24Vancouver Canucks8234558920
2024-25Vancouver Canucks64153045-10
2025-26Vancouver Canucks74153651-30
Career1 team54520030850816