HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Nick Jensen

Anaheim Ducks · D · #4
Depth DDepth Defenseman?17 points and 65 blocks in 61 games in a supporting role
HT
6'0"
WT
202 lb
Age
35
Shoots
R
From
Rogers, USA
Draft
2009 DET · R5 #150
61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4040pctl
Playmaking?
3636pctl
Transition?
2929pctl
Defense?
3939pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2853pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0758pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2151pctl
Shots / GP?
0.65pctl
Plus/Minus?
-240pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.1%5pctl
ZEIS?
0.8917pctl
PSPL?
0.0414pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4047pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.0727pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.7537pctl
Hits / 60?
2.242pctl
Take : Give?
0.2233pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0329pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:4827pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 31 GP tracked · 9h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.1 min31pctl
Support received?
16.7 min68pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 986 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.05M

cap hit

$2.35M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Nick Jensen61$4.05MD$1.7Mthis player
Carson Soucy61--95%
Jonathan Aspirot59$0.78MB+$1.1M92%
Adam Wilsby61$0.81MB+$1.5M89%
Lian Bichsel60$0.92MB+$1.2M89%

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 4 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

1P

0G 1A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

1P

0G 1A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)197 events shown

The office: the left circle - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 63 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Detroit Red Wings494913-7
2017-18Detroit Red Wings8101515-8
2018-19Detroit Red Wings60213151
2018-19Washington Capitals200553
2019-20Washington Capitals680881
2020-21Washington Capitals53212145
2021-22Washington Capitals765162132
2022-23Washington Capitals7752429-1
2023-24Washington Capitals7811314-9
2024-25Ottawa Senators713182118
2025-26Ottawa Senators6141317-2
Career3 teams6942614617233