HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Adam Larsson

Seattle Kraken · D · #6
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?163 blocks across 82 games of regular duty
HT
6'3"
WT
207 lb
Age
33
Shoots
R
From
Skelleftea, SWE
Draft
2011 NJD · R1 #4
75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5454pctl
Playmaking?
6666pctl
Transition?
4646pctl
Defense?
8181pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3058pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0968pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2253pctl
Shots / GP?
1.364pctl
Plus/Minus?
047pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.9%17pctl
ZEIS?
1.4138pctl
PSPL?
0.1977pctl
Def Suppression?
1.5599pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.9993pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.5886pctl
Hits / 60?
3.865pctl
Take : Give?
0.3069pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0434pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:3284pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 18h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.0 min94pctl
Support received?
17.1 min53pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1539 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.25M

cap hit

$6.40M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Adam Larsson75$5.25MB+$1.2Mthis player
Colton Parayko75$6.50MC$0.1M90%
Ryan Pulock76$6.15MC+$0.6M89%
Jake McCabe74$4.49MB+$1.6M88%
Mario Ferraro73$3.25MA+$2.5M87%

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 24 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA

1P

0G 1A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)399 events shown

The office: the left point - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 163 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12New Jersey Devils6521618-7
2012-13New Jersey Devils370664
2013-14New Jersey Devils26123-1
2014-15New Jersey Devils64321242
2015-16New Jersey Devils823151815
2016-17Edmonton Oilers794151921
2017-18Edmonton Oilers63491310
2018-19Edmonton Oilers8231720-28
2019-20Edmonton Oilers491560
2020-21Edmonton Oilers5646102
2021-22Seattle Kraken8281725-23
2022-23Seattle Kraken828253327
2023-24Seattle Kraken81414186
2024-25Seattle Kraken827212822
2025-26Seattle Kraken82718250
Career3 teams10125920726650