HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Erik Gudbranson

Columbus Blue Jackets · D · #44
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?3 points and 64 blocks in 37 games in a supporting role
HT
6'5"
WT
222 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
Ottawa, CAN
Draft
2010 FLA · R1 #3
63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2626pctl
Playmaking?
2020pctl
Transition?
4040pctl
Defense?
6262pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.084pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0325pctl
Assists / GP?
0.054pctl
Shots / GP?
0.935pctl
Plus/Minus?
+669pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1%4pctl
ZEIS?
1.1226pctl
PSPL?
0.0414pctl
Def Suppression?
0.8889pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.7383pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.8490pctl
Hits / 60?
4.169pctl
Take : Give?
0.2131pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:002pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:4588pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 29 GP tracked · 8h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.4 min45pctl
Support received?
16.8 min66pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 556 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$2.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Erik Gudbranson63$4.00MD$1.2Mthis player
Albert Johansson65$1.13MA+$2.2M90%
Ryan Lindgren60$4.50MD$2.4M89%
Cody Ceci64$4.50MD$1.4M89%
Brandon Carlo62$4.10MD$1.5M88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Erik’s goals

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)159 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 64 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Florida Panthers72268-19
2012-13Florida Panthers32044-22
2013-14Florida Panthers65369-7
2014-15Florida Panthers764913-4
2015-16Florida Panthers642793
2016-17Vancouver Canucks30156-14
2017-18Vancouver Canucks52235-7
2018-19Vancouver Canucks57268-27
2018-19Pittsburgh Penguins190227
2019-20Pittsburgh Penguins70000
2019-20Anaheim Ducks444590
2020-21Ottawa Senators36123-13
2020-21Nashville Predators90111
2021-22Calgary Flames786111715
2022-23Columbus Blue Jackets7011213-24
2023-24Columbus Blue Jackets7862026-14
2024-25Columbus Blue Jackets160441
2025-26Columbus Blue Jackets371236
Career8 teams84235105140-118