HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Danton Heinen

Columbus Blue Jackets · LW · #43
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?12 points in 46 games in a supporting role
HT
6'2"
WT
187 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
Langley, CAN
Draft
2014 BOS · R4 #116
57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3232pctl
Playmaking?
2020pctl
Transition?
3737pctl
Defense?
6363pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2627pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1332pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1322pctl
Shots / GP?
1.018pctl
Plus/Minus?
+780pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.1%44pctl
ZEIS?
1.6347pctl
PSPL?
0.002pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4857pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
5.118pctl
Hits / 60?
6.267pctl
Take : Give?
0.4378pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.7684pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0719pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:1255pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 27 GP tracked · 5h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.9 min19pctl
Support received?
18.0 min31pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 507 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.25M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Danton Heinen57$2.25MD$0.8Mthis player
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel58$0.78MB+$0.9M94%
Andrew Mangiapane57$3.60MD$2.1M92%
Adam Erne56--88%
Reid Schaefer55$0.89MC+$0.3M88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Boone Jenner · 4 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 7 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

1P

1G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

1P

0G 1A

vs BOS

1P

0G 1A

vs WSH

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)96 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 28 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Boston Bruins8000-3
2017-18Boston Bruins7716314710
2018-19Boston Bruins7711233413
2019-20Boston Bruins58715223
2019-20Anaheim Ducks9314-5
2020-21Anaheim Ducks437714-9
2021-22Pittsburgh Penguins761815336
2022-23Pittsburgh Penguins6581422-5
2023-24Boston Bruins7417193616
2024-25Vancouver Canucks5161218-1
2024-25Pittsburgh Penguins2838113
2025-26Pittsburgh Penguins131121
2025-26Columbus Blue Jackets3355106
Career5 teams61210215125335