HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jonathan Huberdeau

Calgary Flames · LW · #10
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?25 points in 50 games in a supporting role
HT
6'1"
WT
200 lb
Age
33
Shoots
L
From
Saint-Jerome, CAN
Draft
2011 FLA · R1 #3
70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5858pctl
Playmaking?
5252pctl
Transition?
5959pctl
Defense?
4646pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5060pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2055pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3063pctl
Shots / GP?
1.760pctl
Plus/Minus?
-924pctl
PP Points?
763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.1%80pctl
ZEIS?
2.0764pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4756pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
5.524pctl
Hits / 60?
2.022pctl
Take : Give?
0.167pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.9861pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:5582pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:6074pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 26 GP tracked · 8h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min55pctl
Support received?
18.1 min27pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 711 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$10.50M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($6.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jonathan Huberdeau70$10.50MF$6.0Mthis player
Bobby Brink69$1.50MA+$2.7M82%
Claude Giroux71$2.00MA+$2.8M80%
Oliver Bjorkstrand68$5.40MD$1.5M79%
Conor Garland71$4.95MC$0.2M78%

Chemistry

Top connection: Matt Coronato · 8 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 18 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

1P

1G 0A

@ MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs SJS

1P

0G 1A

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)165 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 10 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 37 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13Florida Panthers48141731-15
2013-14Florida Panthers6991928-5
2014-15Florida Panthers7915395410
2015-16Florida Panthers7620395917
2016-17Florida Panthers31101626-2
2017-18Florida Panthers82274269-2
2018-19Florida Panthers82306292-14
2019-20Florida Panthers692355785
2020-21Florida Panthers5520416112
2021-22Florida Panthers80308511535
2022-23Calgary Flames791540552
2023-24Calgary Flames81124052-29
2024-25Calgary Flames81283462-13
2025-26Calgary Flames50101525-9
Career2 teams962263544807-8