HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mikael Backlund

Calgary Flames · C · #11
Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 43 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'0"
WT
206 lb
Age
37
Shoots
L
From
Vasteras, SWE
Draft
2007 CGY · R1 #24
71Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5757pctl
Playmaking?
6464pctl
Transition?
7070pctl
Defense?
3232pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.5263pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2158pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3266pctl
Shots / GP?
2.381pctl
Plus/Minus?
+780pctl
PP Points?
346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
7.7%78pctl
ZEIS?
2.7279pctl
PSPL?
0.1770pctl
Def Suppression?
0.1617pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
50.0%53pctl
D-Zone FO %?
48.6%46pctl
Draws / GP
17.695pctl
Take : Give?
0.3759pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:0553pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:2796pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.2 min98pctl
Support received?
18.1 min28pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1182 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.50M

cap hit

$4.78M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mikael Backlund71$4.50MC+$0.3Mthis player
Mavrik Bourque71$0.95MA+$3.8M82%
Teddy Blueger69$1.80MA+$2.4M79%
Pierre-Luc Dubois71$8.50MF$3.7M79%
Yegor Sharangovich66$5.75MD$2.3M78%

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA

1P

1G 0A

vs COL

1P

0G 1A

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)709 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 7 of 17 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 37 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2008-09Calgary Flames10000
2009-10Calgary Flames2319105
2010-11Calgary Flames731015254
2011-12Calgary Flames414711-13
2012-13Calgary Flames328816-6
2013-14Calgary Flames761821394
2014-15Calgary Flames521017274
2015-16Calgary Flames8221264710
2016-17Calgary Flames812231539
2017-18Calgary Flames82143145-21
2018-19Calgary Flames7721264734
2019-20Calgary Flames701629453
2020-21Calgary Flames5492332-7
2021-22Calgary Flames8212273916
2022-23Calgary Flames8219375624
2023-24Calgary Flames82152439-4
2024-25Calgary Flames761517324
2025-26Calgary Flames821726437
Career1 team114823237460673