HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Connor Murphy

Edmonton Oilers · D · #5
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?138 blocks in 80 games of hard minutes
HT
6'4"
WT
212 lb
Age
33
Shoots
R
From
Boston, USA
Draft
2011 PHX · R1 #20
66Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4040pctl
Playmaking?
2727pctl
Transition?
2929pctl
Defense?
7272pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2136pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0655pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1527pctl
Shots / GP?
0.931pctl
Plus/Minus?
-240pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.5%11pctl
ZEIS?
0.7413pctl
PSPL?
0.0519pctl
Def Suppression?
0.9992pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.7382pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.9091pctl
Hits / 60?
3.866pctl
Take : Give?
0.2650pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0219pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:4488pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 15h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min55pctl
Support received?
16.4 min83pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1182 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.40M

cap hit

$3.63M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Connor Murphy66$4.40MD$0.8Mthis player
Dante Fabbro68$4.13MC+$0.1M89%
Josh Mahura63$0.91MB+$1.9M88%
Mikey Anderson67$4.13MC$0.2M87%
Jamieson Oleksiak63$4.60MD$1.8M87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tyler Bertuzzi · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

1P

0G 1A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)322 events shown

The office: the high slot - 2 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 139 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Phoenix Coyotes301785
2014-15Arizona Coyotes73437-27
2015-16Arizona Coyotes78611175
2016-17Arizona Coyotes7721517-13
2017-18Chicago Blackhawks7621214-3
2018-19Chicago Blackhawks52581312
2019-20Chicago Blackhawks58514192
2020-21Chicago Blackhawks50312151
2021-22Chicago Blackhawks574610-14
2022-23Chicago Blackhawks807613-10
2023-24Chicago Blackhawks46268-19
2024-25Chicago Blackhawks6821719-2
2025-26Chicago Blackhawks604913-3
2025-26Edmonton Oilers201341
Career4 teams82548129177-65