HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jason Dickinson

Edmonton Oilers · C · #16
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?17 points in 64 games in a supporting role
HT
6'2"
WT
200 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
Georgetown, CAN
Draft
2013 DAL · R1 #29
59Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2929pctl
Playmaking?
3737pctl
Transition?
3535pctl
Defense?
6464pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2728pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1126pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1628pctl
Shots / GP?
1.130pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1022pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.8%53pctl
ZEIS?
1.3836pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5767pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
49.3%49pctl
D-Zone FO %?
51.7%63pctl
Draws / GP
13.984pctl
Take : Give?
0.3241pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0526pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:0790pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 11h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.1 min95pctl
Support received?
17.3 min49pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 852 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.25M

cap hit

$1.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jason Dickinson59$4.25MD$2.4Mthis player
Blake Lizotte60$1.85MC+$0.2M92%
Adam Lowry60$3.25MD$1.2M88%
Ty Dellandrea56$1.30MC+$0.0M88%
Noah Laba59$0.91MB+$0.9M88%

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 12 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)387 events shown

The office: the left circle - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 58 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Dallas Stars11011
2016-17Dallas Stars10202-3
2017-18Dallas Stars27022-2
2018-19Dallas Stars67616229
2019-20Dallas Stars65912217
2020-21Dallas Stars517815-2
2021-22Vancouver Canucks625611-1
2022-23Chicago Blackhawks7892130-29
2023-24Chicago Blackhawks822213354
2024-25Chicago Blackhawks597916-11
2025-26Chicago Blackhawks476713-7
2025-26Edmonton Oilers17134-3
Career4 teams5667597172-37