HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Ryan Donato

Chicago Blackhawks · C · #8
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?30 points in 82 games in a supporting role
HT
6'0"
WT
190 lb
Age
30
Shoots
L
From
Boston, USA
Draft
2014 BOS · R2 #56
63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4949pctl
Playmaking?
3636pctl
Transition?
6161pctl
Defense?
3333pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3740pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1848pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1836pctl
Shots / GP?
1.553pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1610pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
7.3%75pctl
ZEIS?
2.3270pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.1012pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
46.7%32pctl
D-Zone FO %?
44.1%29pctl
Draws / GP
4.434pctl
Take : Give?
0.4577pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:2460pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.4 min52pctl
Support received?
17.1 min57pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1093 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Ryan Donato63$4.00MD$1.3Mthis player
Connor Zary63$3.77MD$1.1M87%
Ross Colton65$4.00MD$0.8M85%
Yegor Sharangovich66$5.75MD$2.3M84%
Philipp Kurashev63--83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ilya Mikheyev · 9 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 19 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

1P

1G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)391 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 15 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 23 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18Boston Bruins125492
2018-19Boston Bruins34639-11
2018-19Minnesota Wild2241216-4
2019-20Minnesota Wild62149235
2020-21San Jose Sharks5061420-11
2021-22Seattle Kraken74161531-13
2022-23Seattle Kraken7114132716
2023-24Chicago Blackhawks78121830-14
2024-25Chicago Blackhawks80313162-15
2025-26Chicago Blackhawks82151530-16
Career5 teams565123134257-61