Regular season

Ilya Mikheyev

Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #95

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?36 points in 77 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 192 lb
Age: 31
Shoots: L
From: Omsk, RUS

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5959pctl

3838pctl

5858pctl

4040pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4757pctl

0.2364pctl

0.2351pctl

1.657pctl

+266pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

8%79pctl

2.0764pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2830pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.525pctl

1.412pctl

0.3564pctl

1.0211pctl

0:0314pctl

2:3899pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

41.3%5pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

48.2%44pctl

O-zone deployment?

31%6pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min92pctl

Support received?

17.3 min49pctl

D-zone deployment?

69%94pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0537pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.2573pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3049pctl

1.06×89pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.34/gm13pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.5%18pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1136 EV min

General Offense

5.2841

6.2321

Shot Setups/60?

0.6325

Chance Setups/60?

0.4221

Primary Contributions/60?

5.9235

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3229

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1170

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3726

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1622

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1145

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0629

Rush Offense/60?

6.6031

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5837

0.6333

0.0524

Deflections/60?

0.7418

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0529

Entries Finished/60?

0.8561

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4852

Entry → Chance %?

56%37

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.1148

0.2648

0.8550

Retrieval Success %?

24%46

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0563

Exit Success %?

5%62

Forechecking

1.1116

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0578

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.75M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ilya Mikheyev	67	Depth Forward	36 P · 77 GP	$4.75M	$3.68M	D−$1.1M	this player
Drew O'Connor	66	Depth Forward	29 P · 82 GP	$2.50M	$3.42M	B+$0.9M	85%
Josh Anderson	63	Depth Forward	23 P · 72 GP	$5.50M	$2.68M	F−$2.8M	80%
Anthony-John (AJ) Greer	65	Depth Forward	32 P · 78 GP	$0.85M	$3.17M	A+$2.3M	79%
Zachary L'Heureux	63	Depth Forward	5 P · 25 GP	$0.86M	$2.68M	B+$1.8M	79%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ryan Donato · 9 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ilya’s goals

Creates for

goals Ilya assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 4 G · 4 A · 15 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-27

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:14 TOI

@ NJD

1P

1G 0A

@ NJD 03-29

1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:14 TOI

vs WPG

2P

0G 2A

vs WPG 03-31

0G 2A · 2 shots · 17:29 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-02

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:43 TOI

@ SEA

2P

1G 1A

@ SEA 04-04

1G 1A · 2 shots · 17:14 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:06 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:13 TOI

vs STL

2P

2G 0A

vs STL 04-11

2G 0A · 3 shots · 18:00 TOI

vs BUF

1P

0G 1A

vs BUF 04-13

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:39 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-15

0G 0A · 3 shots · 17:51 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)214 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 7 of 18 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 29 blocks · 15 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Toronto Maple Leafs	39	8	15	23	7
2020-21	Toronto Maple Leafs	54	7	10	17	5
2021-22	Toronto Maple Leafs	53	21	11	32	16
2022-23	Vancouver Canucks	46	13	15	28	3
2023-24	Vancouver Canucks	78	11	20	31	1
2024-25	Chicago Blackhawks	80	20	14	34	4
2025-26	Chicago Blackhawks	77	18	18	36	2
Career	3 teams	427	98	103	201	38