Regular season

William Carrier

Carolina Hurricanes · LW · #28

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 172 hits (13.7/60)

HT: 6'2"
WT: 214 lb
Age: 31
Shoots: L
From: LaSalle, CAN
Draft: 2013 STL · R2 #57

58Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2828pctl

3939pctl

3636pctl

6060pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2626pctl

0.1023pctl

0.1629pctl

1.130pctl

+575pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.7%41pctl

1.7450pctl

0.1251pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3743pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.443pctl

13.789pctl

0.7999pctl

1.4333pctl

0:028pctl

0:0345pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 8h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.7%93pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.3%71pctl

O-zone deployment?

51%55pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.0 min20pctl

Support received?

16.7 min71pctl

D-zone deployment?

49%45pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0751pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.2372pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2946pctl

0.99×49pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm81pctl

Pressure escape rate?

11.1%96pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 747 EV min

General Offense

6.4264

9.3171

Shot Setups/60?

1.1264

Chance Setups/60?

0.8863

Primary Contributions/60?

7.5564

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6471

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0029

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6459

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4874

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2476

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9374

Rush Offense/60?

9.5573

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6445

0.9664

0.0019

Deflections/60?

1.8572

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0020

Entries Finished/60?

1.2881

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5664

Entry → Chance %?

44%18

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.8831

0.4067

0.4821

Retrieval Success %?

45%83

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

11.8884

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0882

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.05M

cap hit

$1.64M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
William Carrier	58	Depth Forward	18 P · 70 GP	$2.05M	$1.64M	C−$0.4M	this player
Lenni Hameenaho	60	Depth Forward	8 P · 33 GP	$0.95M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	88%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel	58	Depth Forward	10 P · 45 GP	$0.78M	$1.64M	B+$0.9M	88%
Lukas Reichel	59	Depth Forward	8 P · 29 GP	$1.20M	$1.83M	C+$0.6M	86%
Reid Schaefer	55	Depth Forward	8 P · 47 GP	$0.89M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jordan Staal · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on William’s goals

Creates for

goals William assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 9 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:02 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:59 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-31

0G 0A · 2 shots · 9:38 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:58 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:04 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:07 TOI

vs BOS

1P

1G 0A

vs BOS 04-07

1G 0A · 3 shots · 6:39 TOI

@ CHI

3P

0G 3A

@ CHI 04-09

0G 3A · 0 shots · 10:40 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:21 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:40 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)172 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 29 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2016-17	Buffalo Sabres	41	5	3	8	-1
2017-18	Vegas Golden Knights	37	1	2	3	-3
2018-19	Vegas Golden Knights	54	8	1	9	-4
2019-20	Vegas Golden Knights	71	7	12	19	0
2020-21	Vegas Golden Knights	52	6	9	15	0
2021-22	Vegas Golden Knights	63	9	11	20	7
2022-23	Vegas Golden Knights	56	16	9	25	15
2023-24	Vegas Golden Knights	39	6	2	8	3
2024-25	Carolina Hurricanes	43	4	7	11	0
2025-26	Carolina Hurricanes	70	7	11	18	5
Career	3 teams	526	69	67	136	22