HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jordan Staal

Carolina Hurricanes · C · #11
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 166 hits (8.2/60)
HT
6'4"
WT
220 lb
Age
37
Shoots
L
From
Thunder Bay, CAN
Draft
2006 PIT · R1 #2
70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6868pctl
Playmaking?
4444pctl
Transition?
5757pctl
Defense?
6161pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4859pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2772pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2143pctl
Shots / GP?
1.448pctl
Plus/Minus?
+575pctl
PP Points?
450pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.8%72pctl
ZEIS?
2.0563pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4958pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
55.5%86pctl
D-Zone FO %?
53.4%72pctl
Draws / GP
20.299pctl
Take : Give?
0.3553pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:4846pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1493pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.0 min93pctl
Support received?
17.7 min37pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 987 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.92M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jordan Staal70$2.92MB+$1.6Mthis player
Matt Savoie67$0.89MA+$2.8M88%
Pius Suter67$4.13MC$0.4M87%
Ridly Greig67$3.25MC+$0.4M82%
Bobby McMann74$1.35MA++$4.3M82%

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 4 G · 3 A · 17 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ TOR

1P

1G 0A

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

1P

1G 0A

vs NJD

1P

1G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ

1P

0G 1A

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

1P

0G 1A

@ UTA

2P

1G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)590 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 9 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 61 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2006-07Pittsburgh Penguins8129134216
2007-08Pittsburgh Penguins82121628-5
2008-09Pittsburgh Penguins822227495
2009-10Pittsburgh Penguins8221284919
2010-11Pittsburgh Penguins421119307
2011-12Pittsburgh Penguins6225255011
2012-13Carolina Hurricanes48102131-18
2013-14Carolina Hurricanes821525402
2014-15Carolina Hurricanes4661824-6
2015-16Carolina Hurricanes822028486
2016-17Carolina Hurricanes75162945-1
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes79192746-4
2018-19Carolina Hurricanes501117286
2019-20Carolina Hurricanes68819273
2020-21Carolina Hurricanes531622382
2021-22Carolina Hurricanes7817193611
2022-23Carolina Hurricanes811717347
2023-24Carolina Hurricanes80102030-14
2024-25Carolina Hurricanes7513233615
2025-26Carolina Hurricanes752016365
Career2 teams140331842974767