HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mark Jankowski

Carolina Hurricanes · LW · #77
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?21 points in 68 games in a supporting role
HT
6'4"
WT
200 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
Hamilton, CAN
Draft
2012 CGY · R1 #21
62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4242pctl
Playmaking?
4848pctl
Transition?
2828pctl
Defense?
5959pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3134pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1642pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1526pctl
Shots / GP?
0.916pctl
Plus/Minus?
+780pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.3%48pctl
ZEIS?
1.2431pctl
PSPL?
0.1873pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5160pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
5.016pctl
Hits / 60?
3.643pctl
Take : Give?
0.3154pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.5692pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:1625pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:6073pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 8h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.4 min2pctl
Support received?
16.0 min90pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 673 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.80M

cap hit

$2.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mark Jankowski62$0.80MB+$1.7Mthis player
William Carrier58$2.05MC$0.4M84%
Pontus Holmberg64$1.55MB+$1.4M84%
Lenni Hameenaho60$0.95MB+$1.1M83%
Lukas Reichel59$1.20MC+$0.6M82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Alexander Nikishin · 5 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 9 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

2P

2G 0A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)135 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 11 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 53 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Calgary Flames10000
2017-18Calgary Flames7217825-7
2018-19Calgary Flames791418326
2019-20Calgary Flames56527-12
2020-21Pittsburgh Penguins4547114
2021-22Buffalo Sabres192352
2022-23Nashville Predators507512-1
2023-24Nashville Predators32781511
2024-25Nashville Predators414590
2024-25Carolina Hurricanes198084
2025-26Carolina Hurricanes681110217
Career5 teams482796614514