HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Frank Vatrano

Anaheim Ducks · RW · #77
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 84 hits (8.5/60)
HT
5'11"
WT
203 lb
Age
32
Shoots
L
From
East Longmeadow, USA
56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3737pctl
Playmaking?
1515pctl
Transition?
4747pctl
Defense?
5858pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1812pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1023pctl
Assists / GP?
0.088pctl
Shots / GP?
1.656pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1512pctl
PP Points?
135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.5%60pctl
ZEIS?
1.7953pctl
PSPL?
0.016pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4756pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
8.077pctl
Hits / 60?
8.578pctl
Take : Give?
0.3565pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.8485pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:4535pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:4869pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 32 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.8 min13pctl
Support received?
17.2 min52pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 513 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.57M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($3.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Frank Vatrano56$4.57MF$3.3Mthis player
Danton Heinen57$2.25MD$0.8M87%
Andrew Mangiapane57$3.60MD$2.1M86%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel58$0.78MB+$0.9M85%
Cole Smith56$1.00MC+$0.3M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikael Granlund · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

1P

1G 0A

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)148 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 31 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Boston Bruins398311-3
2016-17Boston Bruins4410818-3
2017-18Boston Bruins25202-3
2017-18Florida Panthers165386
2018-19Florida Panthers81241539-10
2019-20Florida Panthers69161834-8
2020-21Florida Panthers56188268
2021-22Florida Panthers4910919-2
2021-22New York Rangers2285136
2022-23Anaheim Ducks81221941-29
2023-24Anaheim Ducks82372360-20
2024-25Anaheim Ducks81212445-9
2025-26Anaheim Ducks50549-15
Career4 teams695186139325-82