HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mikael Granlund

Anaheim Ducks · C · #64
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 41 points and honest two-way play
HT
5'10"
WT
193 lb
Age
34
Shoots
L
From
Oulu, FIN
Draft
2010 MIN · R1 #9
79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7373pctl
Playmaking?
6969pctl
Transition?
6464pctl
Defense?
7575pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7177pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3383pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3873pctl
Shots / GP?
2.072pctl
Plus/Minus?
-924pctl
PP Points?
1274pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
7.9%79pctl
ZEIS?
2.4273pctl
PSPL?
0.1977pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6675pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
49.7%51pctl
D-Zone FO %?
45.5%34pctl
Draws / GP
13.279pctl
Take : Give?
0.4474pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:1186pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:4476pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min55pctl
Support received?
18.2 min24pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 827 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.00M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mikael Granlund79$7.00MC+$0.3Mthis player
Frank Nazar75$0.95MA++$5.0M90%
Elias Lindholm79$7.75MC$0.5M88%
Joel Eriksson Ek80$5.25MA+$2.4M87%
Logan Cooley80$0.95MA++$6.7M86%

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 0 G · 7 A · 18 shots in last 10Heating up(+1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

2P

0G 2A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

1P

0G 1A

@ NSH

3P

0G 3A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)428 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 6 of 19 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 44 blocks · 9 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13Minnesota Wild27268-4
2013-14Minnesota Wild6383341-3
2014-15Minnesota Wild688313917
2015-16Minnesota Wild82133144-12
2016-17Minnesota Wild8126436923
2017-18Minnesota Wild7721466713
2018-19Minnesota Wild63153449-2
2018-19Nashville Predators16145-6
2019-20Nashville Predators63171330-4
2020-21Nashville Predators51131427-1
2021-22Nashville Predators80115364-9
2022-23Nashville Predators5892736-16
2022-23Pittsburgh Penguins211451
2023-24San Jose Sharks69124860-23
2024-25San Jose Sharks52153045-8
2024-25Dallas Stars31714218
2025-26Anaheim Ducks58192241-9
Career6 teams960198453651-35