HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Cole Smith

Chicago Blackhawks · RW · #22
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 173 hits (12.4/60)
HT
6'3"
WT
195 lb
Age
30
Shoots
L
From
Brainerd, USA
56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3939pctl
Playmaking?
1212pctl
Transition?
4242pctl
Defense?
7171pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1914pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1331pctl
Assists / GP?
0.065pctl
Shots / GP?
1.126pctl
Plus/Minus?
-730pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.4%59pctl
ZEIS?
1.7953pctl
PSPL?
0.016pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5160pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
4.916pctl
Hits / 60?
12.487pctl
Take : Give?
0.6796pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.2926pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:028pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5793pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 9h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.1 min30pctl
Support received?
16.9 min63pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 711 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.00M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Cole Smith56$1.00MC+$0.3Mthis player
Danton Heinen57$2.25MD$0.8M87%
Carl Grundstrom60$1.80MC+$0.2M85%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel58$0.78MB+$0.9M85%
Frank Vatrano56$4.57MF$3.3M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Michael McCarron · 4 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

1G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN

1P

1G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)146 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 32 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2020-21Nashville Predators10000
2021-22Nashville Predators8000-3
2022-23Nashville Predators6941317-3
2023-24Nashville Predators80914235
2024-25Nashville Predators714812-15
2025-26Nashville Predators426410-7
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights212020
Career2 teams292253964-23