HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Elias Lindholm

Boston Bruins · C · #28
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 48 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'1"
WT
200 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Boden, SWE
Draft
2013 CAR · R1 #5
79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
7777pctl
Transition?
7272pctl
Defense?
7878pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7077pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2569pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4582pctl
Shots / GP?
1.760pctl
Plus/Minus?
-730pctl
PP Points?
2087pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.8%83pctl
ZEIS?
2.8481pctl
PSPL?
0.2284pctl
Def Suppression?
0.9892pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
56.1%88pctl
D-Zone FO %?
54.1%76pctl
Draws / GP
17.194pctl
Take : Give?
0.3345pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:4577pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5854pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min80pctl
Support received?
18.6 min14pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 978 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.75M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Elias Lindholm79$7.75MC$0.5Mthis player
Mikael Granlund79$7.00MC+$0.3M88%
Elias Pettersson78$11.60MF$4.7M85%
Frank Nazar75$0.95MA++$5.0M85%
Kyle Palmieri80$4.75MA+$2.9M84%

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 3 G · 2 A · 15 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MIN

2P

2G 0A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

2P

1G 1A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

1P

0G 1A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)567 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 17 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 69 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Carolina Hurricanes5891221-14
2014-15Carolina Hurricanes81172239-23
2015-16Carolina Hurricanes82112839-23
2016-17Carolina Hurricanes72113445-2
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes81162844-8
2018-19Calgary Flames8127517830
2019-20Calgary Flames70292554-8
2020-21Calgary Flames5619284710
2021-22Calgary Flames8242408261
2022-23Calgary Flames802242646
2023-24Calgary Flames4992332-8
2023-24Vancouver Canucks266612-6
2024-25Boston Bruins82173047-4
2025-26Boston Bruins69173148-7
Career4 teams9692524006524