Regular season

Alex Turcotte

Los Angeles Kings · C · #15

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?14 points in 62 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 195 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Elk Grove, USA
Draft: 2019 LAK · R1 #5

57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2525pctl

3636pctl

3333pctl

7878pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2319pctl

0.057pctl

0.1834pctl

1.126pctl

-827pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.9%55pctl

1.4640pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6574pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

54.1%80pctl

D-Zone FO %?

60.0%97pctl

7.751pctl

0.5287pctl

0:1834pctl

0:0110pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 34 GP tracked · 6h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.5%92pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

44.4%27pctl

O-zone deployment?

49%46pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min9pctl

Support received?

17.0 min58pctl

D-zone deployment?

51%54pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1487pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9960pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5589pctl

1.04×78pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.12/gm88pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.8%85pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 652 EV min

General Offense

5.9857

10.6881

Shot Setups/60?

1.6684

Chance Setups/60?

1.3885

Primary Contributions/60?

7.6466

Rebounds Created/60?

0.8381

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.2986

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4670

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0943

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3849

Rush Offense/60?

7.4546

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.2984

1.4784

0.0020

Deflections/60?

2.6785

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0943

Entries Finished/60?

0.7451

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5562

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2054

0.3762

0.8349

Retrieval Success %?

31%64

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

3.8754

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0982

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.80M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Alex Turcotte	57	Depth Forward	14 P · 62 GP	$0.80M	$1.46M	C+$0.7M	this player
Rodrigo Abols	57	Depth Forward	10 P · 42 GP	-	$1.46M	-	94%
Steven Lorentz	57	Depth Forward	18 P · 71 GP	$1.35M	$1.46M	C+$0.1M	89%
Colton Sissons	55	Depth Forward	11 P · 66 GP	$2.86M	$1.16M	D−$1.7M	88%
John Beecher	56	Depth Forward	7 P · 35 GP	$0.90M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Kevin Fiala · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Alex’s goals

Creates for

goals Alex assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:49 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 03-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:27 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:56 TOI

@ CBJ

1P

0G 1A

@ CBJ 03-09

0G 1A · 2 shots · 10:07 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-10

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:42 TOI

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI 03-13

0G 1A · 0 shots · 12:15 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:16 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 03-19

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:08 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-22

0G 0A · 1 shots · 6:51 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:38 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)322 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 48 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	8	0	0	0	0
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	4	0	0	0	-2
2023-24	Los Angeles Kings	20	1	3	4	5
2024-25	Los Angeles Kings	68	9	16	25	6
2025-26	Los Angeles Kings	62	3	11	14	-8
Career	1 team	162	13	30	43	1