HockeyAlpha
Regular season

John Beecher

Florida Panthers · C · #17
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?7 points in 35 games in a supporting role
HT
6'3"
WT
220 lb
Age
25
Shoots
L
From
Elmira, USA
Draft
2019 BOS · R1 #30
56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2424pctl
Playmaking?
2121pctl
Transition?
3232pctl
Defense?
7777pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2015pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0919pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1117pctl
Shots / GP?
1.125pctl
Plus/Minus?
-634pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.4%36pctl
ZEIS?
1.4138pctl
PSPL?
0.028pctl
Def Suppression?
0.8084pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
43.4%17pctl
D-Zone FO %?
42.2%19pctl
Draws / GP
5.641pctl
Take : Give?
0.4373pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0421pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:3570pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 20 GP tracked · 4h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.9 min15pctl
Support received?
15.6 min96pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 308 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.90M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
John Beecher56$0.90MC+$0.4Mthis player
Josh Samanski55$0.97MC+$0.2M93%
Rodrigo Abols57--92%
Michael Rasmussen56$3.20MD$1.9M90%
Colton Sissons55$2.86MD$1.7M89%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 16 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD

2P

2G 0A

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)131 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 3 goals live there

Defensive floor: 34 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2023-24Boston Bruins527310-6
2024-25Boston Bruins783811-9
2025-26Boston Bruins6101-1
2025-26Calgary Flames29246-5
Career2 teams165131528-21