HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Colton Sissons

Toronto Maple Leafs · C · #10
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 93 hits (6.8/60)
HT
6'1"
WT
200 lb
Age
32
Shoots
R
From
North Vancouver, CAN
Draft
2012 NSH · R2 #50
55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2626pctl
Playmaking?
2525pctl
Transition?
2626pctl
Defense?
7777pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.179pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0920pctl
Assists / GP?
0.087pctl
Shots / GP?
1.128pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1120pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4%43pctl
ZEIS?
1.3033pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7179pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
56.5%89pctl
D-Zone FO %?
58.7%94pctl
Draws / GP
9.362pctl
Take : Give?
0.4068pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:2940pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:2866pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 9h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.0 min21pctl
Support received?
17.0 min58pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 697 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.86M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Colton Sissons55$2.86MD$1.7Mthis player
Michael Rasmussen56$3.20MD$1.9M91%
Josh Samanski55$0.97MC+$0.2M90%
John Beecher56$0.90MC+$0.4M89%
Steven Lorentz57$1.35MC+$0.1M88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Keegan Kolesar · 4 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

1P

1G 0A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)339 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 53 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Nashville Predators171340
2015-16Nashville Predators344265
2016-17Nashville Predators58821011
2017-18Nashville Predators81918272
2018-19Nashville Predators7515153020
2019-20Nashville Predators579615-2
2020-21Nashville Predators5487152
2021-22Nashville Predators79721282
2022-23Nashville Predators82121830-4
2023-24Nashville Predators81152035-6
2024-25Nashville Predators7271421-12
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights666511-11
Career2 teams7561011312327