Regular season

Trevor Zegras

Philadelphia Flyers · C · #46

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 67 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'0"
WT: 185 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Bedford, USA
Draft: 2019 ANA · R1 #9

81Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7575pctl

7878pctl

7373pctl

2424pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.8385pctl

0.3282pctl

0.5188pctl

2.173pctl

058pctl

2391pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

9.2%85pctl

2.8080pctl

0.2080pctl

Def Suppression?

0.0911pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

34.1%2pctl

D-Zone FO %?

40.4%11pctl

4.737pctl

0.3138pctl

2:5980pctl

0:0218pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 16h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.4%71pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.7%55pctl

O-zone deployment?

57%79pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min83pctl

Support received?

18.4 min17pctl

D-zone deployment?

43%21pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1069pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0262pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4271pctl

1.02×69pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm54pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%63pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1272 EV min

General Offense

5.0534

7.2239

Shot Setups/60?

0.9954

Chance Setups/60?

0.7552

Primary Contributions/60?

6.0437

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4753

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1479

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6155

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2435

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1458

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5156

Rush Offense/60?

7.4545

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6141

0.6131

0.1447

Deflections/60?

0.7116

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1967

Entries Finished/60?

0.8562

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6675

Entry → Chance %?

78%78

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0847

0.0921

0.9963

Retrieval Success %?

9%15

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0559

Exit Success %?

4%60

Forechecking

1.7526

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.75M

cap hit

$7.95M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Trevor Zegras	81	Middle-Six Engine	67 P · 81 GP	$5.75M	$7.95M	A+$2.2M	this player
Anton Lundell	78	Middle-Six Engine	44 P · 64 GP	$5.00M	$6.95M	B+$1.9M	90%
Dylan Cozens	81	Middle-Six Engine	59 P · 82 GP	$7.10M	$7.95M	B+$0.9M	88%
Carter Verhaeghe	80	Middle-Six Engine	55 P · 77 GP	$7.00M	$7.61M	C+$0.6M	88%
Roope Hintz	82	Faceoff General	44 P · 53 GP	$8.45M	$8.30M	C−$0.2M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Owen Tippett · 16 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Trevor’s goals

Creates for

goals Trevor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

10 pts · 4 G · 6 A · 13 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DET

1P

0G 1A

@ DET 03-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 18:12 TOI

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

vs DAL 03-29

1G 0A · 2 shots · 20:17 TOI

@ WSH

1P

0G 1A

@ WSH 03-31

0G 1A · 0 shots · 17:46 TOI

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 04-02

0G 1A · 2 shots · 20:00 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:03 TOI

vs BOS

1P

0G 1A

vs BOS 04-05

0G 1A · 2 shots · 19:00 TOI

@ NJD

3P

2G 1A

@ NJD 04-07

2G 1A · 2 shots · 13:50 TOI

@ DET

1P

0G 1A

@ DET 04-09

0G 1A · 1 shots · 19:17 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:12 TOI

vs CAR

1P

1G 0A

vs CAR 04-13

1G 0A · 4 shots · 21:32 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)444 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 9 of 26 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 30 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 32 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Anaheim Ducks	24	3	10	13	6
2021-22	Anaheim Ducks	75	23	38	61	-21
2022-23	Anaheim Ducks	81	23	42	65	-24
2023-24	Anaheim Ducks	31	6	9	15	-1
2024-25	Anaheim Ducks	57	12	20	32	-8
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	81	26	41	67	0
Career	2 teams	349	93	160	253	-48