Regular season

Anton Lundell

Florida Panthers · C · #15

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 44 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'1"
WT: 196 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Espoo, FIN
Draft: 2020 FLA · R1 #12

78Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7171pctl

7474pctl

7575pctl

3232pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.6976pctl

0.2875pctl

0.4177pctl

2.277pctl

-827pctl

1580pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

8.6%82pctl

2.9583pctl

0.2182pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3033pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

51.8%64pctl

D-Zone FO %?

54.5%80pctl

17.594pctl

0.2215pctl

2:4175pctl

2:0790pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 36 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

54.5%86pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

43.2%23pctl

O-zone deployment?

48%41pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.2 min98pctl

Support received?

19.5 min3pctl

D-zone deployment?

52%59pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1383pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.8491pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4879pctl

0.97×39pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm56pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%61pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 919 EV min

General Offense

6.0158

7.7148

Shot Setups/60?

0.5219

Chance Setups/60?

0.3920

Primary Contributions/60?

6.5349

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1314

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1375

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2015

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2030

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1354

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.5588

Rush Offense/60?

7.9756

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7862

0.4619

0.0729

Deflections/60?

1.4453

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2067

Entries Finished/60?

1.0475

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.8584

Entry → Chance %?

81%82

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.6379

0.3358

1.3179

Retrieval Success %?

20%36

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0769

Exit Success %?

4%57

Forechecking

3.5952

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.00M

cap hit

$6.95M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Anton Lundell	78	Middle-Six Engine	44 P · 64 GP	$5.00M	$6.95M	B+$1.9M	this player
Carter Verhaeghe	80	Middle-Six Engine	55 P · 77 GP	$7.00M	$7.61M	C+$0.6M	90%
Trevor Zegras	81	Middle-Six Engine	67 P · 81 GP	$5.75M	$7.95M	A+$2.2M	90%
Gabriel Vilardi	81	Middle-Six Engine	69 P · 82 GP	$7.50M	$7.95M	C+$0.5M	89%
Dylan Cozens	81	Middle-Six Engine	59 P · 82 GP	$7.10M	$7.95M	B+$0.9M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sam Reinhart · 10 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Anton’s goals

Creates for

goals Anton assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 12 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs TOR

2P

0G 2A

vs TOR 02-26

0G 2A · 1 shots · 16:18 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 02-27

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:43 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:30 TOI

@ NJD

1P

1G 0A

@ NJD 03-03

1G 0A · 3 shots · 19:56 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:32 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 03-06

0G 0A · 3 shots · 19:30 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:32 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 03-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:04 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 03-17

0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:05 TOI

@ EDM

1P

1G 0A

@ EDM 03-19

1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:25 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)570 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 7 of 18 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 17 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 40 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Florida Panthers	65	18	26	44	33
2022-23	Florida Panthers	73	12	21	33	1
2023-24	Florida Panthers	78	13	22	35	19
2024-25	Florida Panthers	79	17	28	45	17
2025-26	Florida Panthers	64	18	26	44	-8
Career	1 team	359	78	123	201	62