HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Christian Dvorak

Philadelphia Flyers · C · #22
Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 51 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'1"
WT
190 lb
Age
30
Shoots
L
From
Palos, USA
Draft
2014 ARI · R2 #58
75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
6565pctl
Transition?
5252pctl
Defense?
6262pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.6472pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2361pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4178pctl
Shots / GP?
1.968pctl
Plus/Minus?
+1186pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
9.3%85pctl
ZEIS?
1.6648pctl
PSPL?
0.1563pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5463pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
54.5%82pctl
D-Zone FO %?
56.9%90pctl
Draws / GP
14.485pctl
Take : Give?
0.3243pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:4065pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5884pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.0 min93pctl
Support received?
18.8 min10pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1185 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.40M

cap hit

$5.99M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Christian Dvorak75$5.40MC+$0.6Mthis player
Marco Rossi74$5.00MC+$0.7M83%
Brayden Schenn70$6.50MD$2.0M83%
Logan Stankoven75$0.81MA++$5.2M83%
Ben Kindel71$0.97MA+$3.8M82%

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 3 G · 4 A · 18 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH

2P

1G 1A

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

2P

1G 1A

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

1P

1G 0A

@ WPG

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)615 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 11 of 18 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 72 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Arizona Coyotes781518337
2017-18Arizona Coyotes78152237-19
2018-19Arizona Coyotes20257-2
2019-20Arizona Coyotes701820386
2020-21Arizona Coyotes56171431-11
2021-22Montréal Canadiens56112233-19
2022-23Montréal Canadiens64101828-12
2023-24Montréal Canadiens30549-5
2024-25Montréal Canadiens82122133-5
2025-26Philadelphia Flyers8018335111
Career3 teams614123177300-49