HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Owen Tippett

Philadelphia Flyers · RW · #74
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 51 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'1"
WT
210 lb
Age
27
Shoots
R
From
Peterborough, CAN
Draft
2017 FLA · R1 #10
79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8383pctl
Playmaking?
6767pctl
Transition?
8787pctl
Defense?
5252pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.6372pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3585pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2860pctl
Shots / GP?
2.791pctl
Plus/Minus?
-634pctl
PP Points?
763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
12%95pctl
ZEIS?
3.8293pctl
PSPL?
0.2182pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4451pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
9.795pctl
Hits / 60?
7.373pctl
Take : Give?
0.3155pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.1967pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:1370pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:2561pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min77pctl
Support received?
18.4 min17pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1150 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.20M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Owen Tippett79$6.20MB+$1.1Mthis player
Jimmy Snuggerud81$0.95MA++$7.0M88%
Artturi Lehkonen80$4.50MA+$3.1M87%
Jackson Blake79$0.91MA++$6.4M86%
Alex Laferriere75$4.10MB+$1.9M86%

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 4 G · 3 A · 23 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DET

4P

3G 1A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)438 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 8 of 28 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 35 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 54 blocks · 15 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18Florida Panthers7101-6
2020-21Florida Panthers4571118-5
2021-22Florida Panthers4268142
2021-22Philadelphia Flyers21437-4
2022-23Philadelphia Flyers77272249-17
2023-24Philadelphia Flyers78282553-5
2024-25Philadelphia Flyers77202343-12
2025-26Philadelphia Flyers81282351-6
Career2 teams428121115236-53