Regular season

Josh Dunne

Washington Capitals · C · #40

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?4 points in 34 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'4"
WT: 208 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: O'Fallon, USA

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2020pctl

4040pctl

2424pctl

4747pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.124pctl

0.033pctl

0.0911pctl

0.912pctl

-730pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.5%38pctl

1.0322pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3236pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

54.1%79pctl

D-Zone FO %?

50.0%52pctl

3.630pctl

0.3861pctl

0:0210pctl

0:0629pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

43.0%9pctl

O-zone deployment?

18%0pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.6 min6pctl

Support received?

16.1 min89pctl

D-zone deployment?

82%100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0644pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.1870pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4169pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.03/gm100pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.9%28pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 318 EV min

General Offense

5.4748

8.1253

Shot Setups/60?

0.5730

Chance Setups/60?

0.5737

Primary Contributions/60?

6.0442

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3842

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1924

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3857

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0028

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5154

Rush Offense/60?

6.9842

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.3277

1.3273

0.1957

Deflections/60?

1.8967

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1961

Entries Finished/60?

1.1371

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5761

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.0877

0.7677

1.3272

Retrieval Success %?

36%68

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Exit Success %?

0%36

Forechecking

6.0465

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Josh Dunne	55	Depth Forward	4 P · 34 GP	$0.78M	$1.16M	C+$0.4M	this player
Jacob Quillan	56	Depth Forward	3 P · 23 GP	$0.88M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	96%
Juho Lammikko	55	Depth Forward	2 P · 24 GP	-	$1.16M	-	94%
Luke Kunin	53	Depth Forward	10 P · 62 GP	-	$0.92M	-	91%
Nick Cousins	58	Depth Forward	23 P · 81 GP	$0.82M	$1.64M	B+$0.8M	90%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Josh’s goals

Creates for

goals Josh assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 12-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:08 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 12-31

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:15 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 01-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:15 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 01-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:13 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 02-25

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:15 TOI

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 02-27

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:54 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 03-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:37 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:17 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:58 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 04-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:52 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)110 events shown

Defensive floor: 17 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Columbus Blue Jackets	6	0	0	0	-1
2022-23	Columbus Blue Jackets	8	0	0	0	-6
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	2	0	0	0	-3
2025-26	Buffalo Sabres	34	1	3	4	-7
Career	2 teams	50	1	3	4	-17