Regular season

Beck Malenstyn

Buffalo Sabres · LW · #29

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?282 hits (18.6/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'3"
WT: 209 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Delta, CAN
Draft: 2016 WSH · R5 #145

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2020pctl

3636pctl

1515pctl

7979pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1711pctl

0.0919pctl

0.0910pctl

0.914pctl

058pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.1%33pctl

0.9318pctl

0.1563pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8788pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.711pctl

18.695pctl

0.3462pctl

4.9499pctl

0:014pctl

1:4891pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

44.8%16pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

46.4%34pctl

O-zone deployment?

28%4pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min29pctl

Support received?

16.5 min76pctl

D-zone deployment?

72%96pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1068pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8854pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3253pctl

0.89×7pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm73pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.3%14pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 764 EV min

General Offense

5.2641

6.9136

Shot Setups/60?

1.0256

Chance Setups/60?

0.9468

Primary Contributions/60?

6.2845

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5561

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0863

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6358

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0817

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0877

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0841

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1035

Rush Offense/60?

6.5232

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7961

1.1876

0.3178

Deflections/60?

1.7368

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0839

Entries Finished/60?

0.5532

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3132

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2658

0.1632

1.1069

Retrieval Success %?

13%24

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

12.6585

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.35M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Beck Malenstyn	55	Wrecking Ball	14 P · 81 GP	$1.35M	$1.16M	C−$0.2M	this player
Mathieu Joseph	57	Depth Forward	11 P · 51 GP	$2.95M	$1.46M	D−$1.5M	88%
Garnet Hathaway	51	Wrecking Ball	3 P · 66 GP	$2.40M	$0.86M	D−$1.5M	87%
Alexey Toropchenko	53	Depth Forward	11 P · 65 GP	$1.70M	$0.92M	D−$0.8M	85%
Taylor Raddysh	56	Depth Forward	19 P · 68 GP	$1.50M	$1.30M	C−$0.2M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Peyton Krebs · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Beck’s goals

Creates for

goals Beck assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 03-27

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:28 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:44 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 03-31

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:20 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:33 TOI

@ WSH

1P

1G 0A

@ WSH 04-04

1G 0A · 1 shots · 12:27 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:53 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-08

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:15 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:30 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:32 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:59 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)138 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 87 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Washington Capitals	3	0	0	0	-1
2021-22	Washington Capitals	12	1	0	1	2
2022-23	Washington Capitals	9	1	1	2	0
2023-24	Washington Capitals	81	6	15	21	-1
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	76	4	6	10	-16
2025-26	Buffalo Sabres	81	7	7	14	0
Career	2 teams	262	19	29	48	-16